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FluidFluxation's profile
Will 🗣️ 🌐
Will 🗣️ 🌐
Will  🗣️  🌐
@FluidFluxation

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Will  🗣️  🌐

@FluidFluxation

$I am‽ Generalist. Theorycraft.

Here, Now, Probably
Joined April 2011

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    1. oliver beige‏ @oliverbeige Feb 17

      Let's talk gun ownership and statistics. More precisely: the unseen power of very small probabilities.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Show this thread
    2. oliver beige‏ @oliverbeige Feb 17

      Every gun in circulation has a small probability to be used in a situation where one side believes bolstering the argument with the threat of violence gives him (sic) the upper hand.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      Show this thread
    3. oliver beige‏ @oliverbeige Feb 17

      Every gun in circulation has an even smaller probability to not be used in an argument, but to forestall the argument. Your chances of survival go up dramatically if you shoot first.

      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      Show this thread
    4. oliver beige‏ @oliverbeige Feb 17

      Every gun in your possession has a very small probability to turn you from good guy to bad guy. Assessments of what's just are subjective. Every good guy gun also has a not-so-small probability to fall into the hands of a bad guy. Most guns are bearer instruments.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Show this thread
    5. oliver beige‏ @oliverbeige Feb 17

      Every gun in the possession of a good guy also has a very small probability to fall into the hands of a good kid that can't handle guns. Toddlers even. Small probabilities add up.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Show this thread
    6. oliver beige‏ @oliverbeige Feb 17

      Every gun in circulation has a small probability to turn a good guy meets good guy situation into a potentially bad guy meets potentially bad guy situation. A small fraction of good guy vs good guy encounters end up with one good guy dead, and one bad guy walking away. Too many.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
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    7. oliver beige‏ @oliverbeige Feb 17

      Most cops are good guys. A tiny fraction is not. Most citizens are good, law-abiding citizens. Most gun owners are law-abiding citizens. The assessment whether the other side is a good guy or a bad guy with a gun takes fractions of a second, using very unreliable visual cues.

      2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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    8. oliver beige‏ @oliverbeige Feb 17

      When I was living in the US, I had local drivers licenses, but in every traffic stop situation I would show my German drivers license first, to signal two things: 1. I learned how to drive, 2. I'm unarmed. The reaction to that was always palpable.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      Show this thread
      Will  🗣️  🌐‏ @FluidFluxation Feb 17
      Replying to @oliverbeige @ecoinomia

      Did you verbally communicate the correlation of German=Non Gun or was it always an implied context?

      2:07 AM - 17 Feb 2018
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. oliver beige‏ @oliverbeige Feb 17
          Replying to @FluidFluxation

          Implied. This was typically before I had said a word. Cop, hand on holster: "Can I see your drivers license, sir?" Me: *hands over German drivers licence* Cop *takes hand off holster, stands at ease*: "Thank you sir, do you also have a local drivers license?"

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Will  🗣️  🌐‏ @FluidFluxation Feb 17
          Replying to @oliverbeige @ecoinomia

          Honestly fascinated that prompts such a response. US native myself, but I would have assumed supplying a foreign ID and not local initially would at first glance have raised suspicion, not relaxed it.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        4. oliver beige‏ @oliverbeige Feb 17
          Replying to @FluidFluxation

          I assume this very much depends on where the foreign ID is from.

          2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        5. Will  🗣️  🌐‏ @FluidFluxation Feb 17
          Replying to @oliverbeige @ecoinomia

          My reasoning was more that your operating a vehicle should require some form of local licence or an IDP, and identifying yourself with a foreign id doesnt prove you can drive. Ie: bartender shouldn't question age based on nation, but a German ID alone doesnt mean you can drive.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        6. oliver beige‏ @oliverbeige Feb 17
          Replying to @FluidFluxation

          For rental cars you don't need local IDs.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        7. Will  🗣️  🌐‏ @FluidFluxation Feb 17
          Replying to @oliverbeige @ecoinomia

          I was not aware of that. TIL. 👍

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        8. oliver beige‏ @oliverbeige Feb 17
          Replying to @FluidFluxation

          Stereotyping is a very powerful tool. It sets priors in an engagement where you know very little about the other. Germans build cars, drive on the autobahn, have very strict drivers license tests, and are more likely tourists than residents.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        9. oliver beige‏ @oliverbeige Feb 17
          Replying to @oliverbeige @FluidFluxation

          So me handing over my German drivers license was a way to set priors based on stereotypes (which might be true or not in my case) to defuse a potentially tense situation. That's a privilege not everybody has.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        10. End of conversation

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