Skip to content
By using Twitter’s services you agree to our Cookie Use and Data Transfer outside the EU. We and our partners operate globally and use cookies, including for analytics, personalisation, and ads.
We've updated our Privacy Policy, effective June 18th, 2017. You can learn more about what's changed on our Help Center.
  • Home Home Home, current page.
  • Moments Moments Moments, current page.

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Language: English
    • Bahasa Indonesia
    • Bahasa Melayu
    • Català
    • Čeština
    • Dansk
    • Deutsch
    • English UK
    • Español
    • Filipino
    • Français
    • Hrvatski
    • Italiano
    • Magyar
    • Nederlands
    • Norsk
    • Polski
    • Português
    • Română
    • Slovenčina
    • Suomi
    • Svenska
    • Tiếng Việt
    • Türkçe
    • Ελληνικά
    • Български език
    • Русский
    • Српски
    • Українська мова
    • עִבְרִית
    • العربية
    • فارسی
    • मराठी
    • हिन्दी
    • বাংলা
    • ગુજરાતી
    • தமிழ்
    • ಕನ್ನಡ
    • ภาษาไทย
    • 한국어
    • 日本語
    • 简体中文
    • 繁體中文
  • Have an account? Log in
    Have an account?
    · Forgot password?

    New to Twitter?
    Sign up
FiveThirtyEight's profile
FiveThirtyEight
FiveThirtyEight
FiveThirtyEight
Verified account
@FiveThirtyEight

Tweets

FiveThirtyEightVerified account

@FiveThirtyEight

The home of Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight on Twitter. Politics, Economics, Science, Life, Sports.

New York, NY
fivethirtyeight.com
Joined January 2014

Tweets

  • © 2017 Twitter
  • About
  • Help Center
  • Terms
  • Privacy policy
  • Cookies
  • Ads info
Dismiss
Previous
Next

Go to a person's profile

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @

Promote this Tweet

Block

  • Add a location to your Tweets

    When you tweet with a location, Twitter stores that location. You can switch location on/off before each Tweet and always have the option to delete your location history. Learn more

    Share Location

    Foursquare
    Results from Yelp

    Your lists

    Create a new list


    Under 100 characters, optional

    Privacy

    Copy link to Tweet

    Embed this Tweet

    Embed this Video

    Add this Tweet to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Add this video to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Hmm, there was a problem reaching the server.

    By embedding Twitter content in your website or app, you are agreeing to the Twitter Developer Agreement and Developer Policy.

    Preview

    Why you're seeing this ad

    Log in to Twitter

    · Forgot password?
    Don't have an account? Sign up »

    Sign up for Twitter

    Not on Twitter? Sign up, tune into the things you care about, and get updates as they happen.

    Sign up
    Have an account? Log in »

    Two-way (sending and receiving) short codes:

    Country Code For customers of
    United States 40404 (any)
    Canada 21212 (any)
    United Kingdom 86444 Vodafone, Orange, 3, O2
    Brazil 40404 Nextel, TIM
    Haiti 40404 Digicel, Voila
    Ireland 51210 Vodafone, O2
    India 53000 Bharti Airtel, Videocon, Reliance
    Indonesia 89887 AXIS, 3, Telkomsel, Indosat, XL Axiata
    Italy 4880804 Wind
    3424486444 Vodafone
    » See SMS short codes for other countries

    Confirmation

     

    Welcome home!

    This timeline is where you’ll spend most of your time, getting instant updates about what matters to you.

    Tweets not working for you?

    Hover over the profile pic and click the Following button to unfollow any account.

    Say a lot with a little

    When you see a Tweet you love, tap the heart — it lets the person who wrote it know you shared the love.

    Spread the word

    The fastest way to share someone else’s Tweet with your followers is with a Retweet. Tap the icon to send it instantly.

    Join the conversation

    Add your thoughts about any Tweet with a Reply. Find a topic you’re passionate about, and jump right in.

    Learn the latest

    Get instant insight into what people are talking about now.

    Get more of what you love

    Follow more accounts to get instant updates about topics you care about.

    Find what's happening

    See the latest conversations about any topic instantly.

    Never miss a Moment

    Catch up instantly on the best stories happening as they unfold.

    FiveThirtyEight‏Verified account @FiveThirtyEight 27 Sep 2016

    .@NateSilver538's post-debate analysis: Clinton won the debate, which means she’s likely to gain in the polls:http://53eig.ht/2dfy9Xt 

    4:14 AM - 27 Sep 2016
    • 607 Retweets
    • 934 Likes
    • Peggy Mackenzie Libbie Martino Kriste Lindenmeyer Robert Riley Leslie White Embasilfoundations riri IntelIntegrate dy
    51 replies 607 retweets 934 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Jay Sethi‏ @jsethi 27 Sep 2016
        Replying to @FiveThirtyEight @NateSilver538

        Check it out. She lost every poll except CNN. Thank god social media polls exist. Media is unreliable.

        3 replies 1 retweet 10 likes
      3. Craig Kolb‏ @craigkolb 27 Sep 2016
        Replying to @jsethi @FiveThirtyEight @NateSilver538

        online polls are, by their own admission, non-scientific clickbait

        0 replies 0 retweets 13 likes
      4. End of conversation
    1. Fang Hong‏ @FangHong100 27 Sep 2016
      Replying to @FiveThirtyEight

      @Democrat4LifeTX @NateSilver538 all Americans know last night donald trump is no't prepare is no't qualified for president

      0 replies 3 retweets 6 likes
      Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
      1. New conversation
      2. Author Debby‏ @WyomingWonder 27 Sep 2016
        Replying to @FiveThirtyEight

        . Go look at the forbs poll trump won 52% of the polls, as he did other online polls. Do reseach

        4 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
      3. Rachel‏ @Gaychel22 27 Sep 2016
        Replying to @WyomingWonder @FiveThirtyEight @NateSilver538

        reseach? whats that? Read more about Nate, he knows his shit and he is smarter than you.

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Monty Ryder‏ @MontyRyder 27 Sep 2016
        Replying to @FiveThirtyEight

        Nate Silver has reached peak delusion in this election. @FiveThirtyEight @NateSilver538

        1 reply 0 retweets 11 likes
      3. Monty Ryder‏ @MontyRyder 27 Sep 2016
        Replying to @MontyRyder

        The "winner" of the debates is the one who gains the most (in polls) from them. See: @FiveThirtyEight @NateSilver538http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-may-have-more-to-gain-from-the-first-debate-than-clinton/ …

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Daniel Myers‏ @DSMok1 27 Sep 2016
        Replying to @FiveThirtyEight @NateSilver538

        I'm not sure I'd trust a trendline with an R^2 that low, and mostly based on a couple points. Mostly noise!pic.twitter.com/WQgw5y3cYW

        1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
      3. Mika Honkasalo‏ @mhonkasalo 27 Sep 2016
        Replying to @DSMok1 @FiveThirtyEight @NateSilver538

        I think the hedge in the article is fairly reasonable though

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. Daniel Myers‏ @DSMok1 27 Sep 2016
        Replying to @mhonkasalo @FiveThirtyEight @NateSilver538

        Yes, though I'd probably not even give a numerical prediction.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      5. End of conversation
    2. PierParty‏ @PierParty 27 Sep 2016
      Replying to @FiveThirtyEight @NateSilver538

      Clinton looked cool, calm & in control. She was prepared w/facts. Trump looked like a bully on the defense.

      0 replies 0 retweets 6 likes
      Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
    3. Joseph Covatelli‏ @FollwYourCareer 27 Sep 2016
      Replying to @FiveThirtyEight @NateSilver538

      Hillary won in a landslide. #Trump wasn't prepared and floundered. #narcicissism is a sickness.

      0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
      Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
    4. Lexie‏ @strlka 27 Sep 2016
      Replying to @FiveThirtyEight @NateSilver538

      I honestly think Trump won. He looked dumb at several points but he was strong early on. This is scary.

      0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
    5. Tim Parent‏ @TimP711 27 Sep 2016
      Replying to @FiveThirtyEight @NateSilver538

      "Hillary won based on advanced metrics...like cnn's poll"pic.twitter.com/38NIGRMkHz

      0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
    6. Jason Shaw‏ @jasonshaw1988 27 Sep 2016
      Replying to @FiveThirtyEight @NateSilver538

      I'm a Trump supporter.And I'd never watch CNN.In fact, only Clinton supporters watch CNN. And u go with that

      0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
    7. Angelica Mata‏ @matageli 27 Sep 2016
      Replying to @FiveThirtyEight @NateSilver538

      But Nate. Haven't you read that #TrumpWon is trending? 😳

      0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
    8. Dietrich Buxtehude‏ @Buxtehude11 27 Sep 2016
      Replying to @FiveThirtyEight

      pic.twitter.com/BAE01hYvoc

      0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
    9. Patrick J. Sparrow‏ @elegantbrew 27 Sep 2016
      Replying to @FiveThirtyEight @NateSilver538

      Doesn't who gains in the polls determine who won the debate?

      0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
    10. .‏ @endless_marv 27 Sep 2016
      Replying to @FiveThirtyEight @NateSilver538

      Disappointing she didn't deliver a knock out. She's the only thing standing between him and the presidency.

      0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo

    Loading seems to be taking a while.

    Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.

      Promoted Tweet

      false

      • © 2017 Twitter
      • About
      • Help Center
      • Terms
      • Privacy policy
      • Cookies
      • Ads info