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*PBoC cut the RRR or not ? all the other stuff is cute but it feels like, for the sake of financial stability, pboc is adverse to cutting RRR. that being said it seems they are ready to pump and use window guidance as much as possible. this is somewhat reminiscent of the Nky tbc
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SEP and markets are thus quite wide but they've been wider and the dovish pivot proves that this mkt thinks it can force the fed to act through the yield curve - which many at the fed still care about, if only for the sake of plausible deniability in case of a recession
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2/ Dally today again specified that the current stance is accomodative enough and is on the right path. i would have wished
@steveliesman ask her straight why they don't cut more if it can accelerate our way to their mandate and if they think we still have slack as she said.Prikaži ovu nitHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
*MP BoJ / ECB irrelevant in the near term FED: Kinda complicated.. 1/ Clarida sort of set a relatively high hurdle : 2 quarters of slowdowns from what's expected - this is my interpretation of what he said mkt expectations which are already pricing in 1 to 1.5cuts by EoY
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I think Bloom & Butti's platforms are actually quite anti biz & mkts but mkt isn't paying attention to this so the only real tail risk they care abt is Bernie/Warren 4 now. Warren confirmed her setback. Trump's chances have gone up as per bookiespic.twitter.com/wlTC2o4l3B
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*US Elections : I believe we owe 04/02 rally to the weak display of dems. also Butti has 0 chance vs Trump if that's what the dems are gonna go for. consensus is Bloom can't win either. Euro traders were quite overhedged around the event and had to reduce the neg delta.pic.twitter.com/wOWl9CICcp
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#Macro thread#theWallOfWorry *Corona : Irrelevant in its current form except for China & neighbors - not deadly enough, not geographically spread enough, china containment efforts impressive, Cos not profit warning enough, numbers too small in an otherwise bullish setting.pic.twitter.com/EtutQP8hlW
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still have a lot of trouble with sizing stop losses in china futspic.twitter.com/pZ9Z8BRZky
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FiatProfit proslijedio/la je Tweet
Speech by Board Member MASAI in Nara (Economic Activity, Prices, and Monetary Policy in Japan) http://twme.jp/boj/03h7
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FiatProfit proslijedio/la je Tweet
After a big run for Growth, if we are at the beginning of a rotation back to Value, US indices should underperform since they are very growth heavy relative to ex-USpic.twitter.com/cvQZRAZ6bB
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FiatProfit proslijedio/la je Tweet
Meanwhile, inflation locked below target, labour market is exhibiting recessionary like conditions, fiscal policy is too tight...https://twitter.com/beckyquick83/status/1225155690555006976 …
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FiatProfit proslijedio/la je Tweet
Chinese authorities strategy for crises: monetary easing, allow CNY to weaken by a moderate amount like 2-4% but no further, pump liquidity into interbank market, and ready the "national team" of equity buyers. RRR cuts, more rate cuts, and fiscal policy held in reserve
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FiatProfit proslijedio/la je Tweet
#EIA report in charts.#oil#gasoline#OOTTpic.twitter.com/LSnihqz3jw
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FiatProfit proslijedio/la je Tweet
The median performance for the hottest theme of a decade is 587%. In the following decade the median performance for the same theme is -11%. Mega cap and FANG are in the late stages of a hot theme cycle.pic.twitter.com/rUEb0RKEBC
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Nikkei on another planet bcz of bonds.
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Picture i can now paint is euro investors feel they overhedged US political risk and have placed orders to undersize that using any volume spikes to sell as much as possible. Corona not a threat needs a far bigger headline esp with national team propping up Ashares 150bps/night
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FiatProfit proslijedio/la je Tweet
#CathayPacific has asked all of its 27,000 employees to take 3 weeks of unpaid leave over the coming months, the CEO said todayz On Tue, the carrier unveiled massive cuts to flying schedules, by 30% worldwide for 2 months, incl. 90% of flights to mainland China.Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
FiatProfit proslijedio/la je Tweet
So, buy the rumor and hold the fact??
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WHO fake news dip was bot. We need to figure out what is behind this dip asap
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