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FatManTerra's profile
FatMan
FatMan
FatMan
@FatManTerra

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FatMan

@FatManTerra

FatMan from the Terra Research Forum I provide research, updates, and analysis on the Terra situation as it unfolds. Views are my own opinions.

fatmanterra.eth
Joined May 2022

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    1. FatMan‏ @FatManTerra May 22

      "You should have done your own research" and "the algorithm was public" are the two single best cynical criticisms of the restitution movement for Anchor savers. Let's briefly explore why DYOR only works when you are not being sophistically defrauded at a protocol level. (1/11)

      21 replies 77 retweets 373 likes
      Show this thread
    2. FatMan‏ @FatManTerra May 22

      Some relevant background on Anchor, for the uninitiated. When Anchor is in a deficit (it makes less in profit than the interest it pays out), the excess comes from the 'yield reserve' (that Do Kwon altruistically topped up with $500m). This stabilizes the 19.5% rate. (2/11)

      2 replies 7 retweets 71 likes
      Show this thread
    3. FatMan‏ @FatManTerra May 22

      When studying Anchor's sustainability responsibly, one would analyze how much of the interest comes from borrowers/staking organically and how much comes from the temporary yield reserve runway. This would indicate how stable the ecosystem is in general. (3/11)

      1 reply 6 retweets 51 likes
      Show this thread
    4. FatMan‏ @FatManTerra May 22

      If the total 19.5% APY comes mostly from organic sources, there's less strain on the system as less smart capital will suddenly flee during uncertain times. If the borrowers are real, there's less risk of them suddenly pulling out large amounts of collateral at once. (4/11)

      1 reply 6 retweets 51 likes
      Show this thread
    5. FatMan‏ @FatManTerra May 22

      Hypothetically, what if I told you that five of the massive anonymous wallets we know and love comprised 50% of Anchor's bLUNA collateral at one point (out of 25,500) wallets? (5/11)pic.twitter.com/Hpt3EPzfvn

      2 replies 5 retweets 56 likes
      Show this thread
    6. FatMan‏ @FatManTerra May 22

      Hypothetically, what if I told you that some of the large borrowers were just letting their money sit in their account accruing millions in interest without actually using it? (6/11)pic.twitter.com/eKLf2WGEmZ

      2 replies 6 retweets 49 likes
      Show this thread
      FatMan‏ @FatManTerra May 22

      Inflating the Borrow side to make Anchor look more robust than it actually was would bring in an imbalanced amount of capital into the Earn side. The most sinister part is, even the best researchers who understand Anchor's revenue sources cannot 'DYODD' to unconver this. (7/11)

      1:41 AM - 22 May 2022
      • 8 Retweets
      • 100 Likes
      • UnstableKwon Derek Игорь Тимониченко Piyush mishra eagleking.eth profit.web3 Jay2twenty3 Ercan Yiğit Dhan TNA H SIN
      4 replies 8 retweets 100 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. FatMan‏ @FatManTerra May 22

          If someone inorganically inflated Borrow: who? Why? What did they stand to gain by pulling billions into the Terra ecosystem under false pretenses? Instead of slow, stable growth, this would move fast and break things, creating a system far more vulnerable to collapse. (8/11)

          1 reply 5 retweets 59 likes
          Show this thread
        3. FatMan‏ @FatManTerra May 22

          These wallets are quite old and some were funded with millions of LUNA years ago. I'm still exploring some links, but it doesn't matter if they were TFL employees or early VCs/megawhales. Both are bad. Both would be defrauding retail, if what the data suggests is true. (9/11)

          1 reply 8 retweets 76 likes
          Show this thread
        4. FatMan‏ @FatManTerra May 22

          PS. About the 'algorithm' - Terra's primary economic algorithmic promise was that you could always redeem $1 of LUNA by burning 1 UST. That algorithm has now been turned off. The algorithm was a lie. This is not something you can research about and know in advance. (10/11)

          6 replies 22 retweets 151 likes
          Show this thread
        5. FatMan‏ @FatManTerra May 22

          PPS. For the techies - here is some in-depth analysis potentially pointing to the fact that in 2021, TFL employees were exacerbating cascading liquidations to pick up cheap LUNA using their privileged liquidation engine. Thoughts? (11/11)https://forum.anchorprotocol.com/t/anchor-protocol-how-the-dev-team-rigged-liquidations/1045 …

          7 replies 20 retweets 113 likes
          Show this thread
        6. End of conversation
        1. FatMan‏ @FatManTerra May 22

          uncover*

          3 replies 3 retweets 33 likes
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        1. AgitatedBroccoli‏ @AgitatedB May 22
          Replying to @FatManTerra

          totally agree. looks like some shady stuffs were happening to make the numbers look good and lure in investors

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. CryptoDelk‏ @DelkCrypto May 22
          Replying to @FatManTerra

          🚀 🚀 🚀 🚀 🚀 🚀 🚀 🚀 🚀 🚀 🚀 🚀 🚀 🚀 🚀 🚀 🚀🚀🚀 🚀🚀🚀 🚀🚀🚀 🚀🚀 🚀 🚀 🚀 🚀

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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