Also think about that logic. When was the last time you died playing Russian roulette? Never? Does that mean it's safe? Selection effect
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Replying to @gmukunda @evan_mcmullin
I have huge respect for you Evan but you're just wrong on this. Playing games with the foundation of the world economy is scary scary stuff
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Replying to @gmukunda
It's not a game at all. I understand your view, but it's very academic. In practice, the debt ceiling forces leaders to reexamine spending.
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Replying to @EvanMcMullin @gmukunda
In the end, most understand that the ceiling must be raised and that's what happens, but without this review there is little examination.
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Replying to @EvanMcMullin @gmukunda
I know that's not textbook ideal, but in practice, there is no other real political forcing function for spending reexamination.
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Replying to @EvanMcMullin @evan_mcmullin
If the limit is always raised then it can't do that either. The risk of default is real or fake it can't be both.
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Replying to @gmukunda @evan_mcmullin
And dismissing the concerns of experts in this stuff (all of them!) as "academic" is unworthy of you.
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Replying to @gmukunda
Not dismissing your view; I think it's an important one, I just don't think you're factoring in political realities that may be unfamiliar.
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Replying to @EvanMcMullin @evan_mcmullin
I'm a political scientist. I worked in my first campaign when I was 14. I worked on the Clinton campaign. Just to start.
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Replying to @gmukunda
Campaign experience is valuable; working or serving in Congress helps one understand how these political dynamics impact governance.
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It also helps one understand that the risk of not raising the ceiling and default is actually low, and that the debate is really critical.
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Replying to @EvanMcMullin @evan_mcmullin
The risk from picking up pennies from in front of a steamroller is also low. Would you do it?
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Replying to @gmukunda @evan_mcmullin
However low the risk it's already cost taxpayers tens of billions of $. That's an amazing amount to pay for a "debate!"
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