Europe Elects

@EuropeElects

Poll aggregation and election analysis for countries in the European Union. Contact: tobias.schminke@europeelects.eu

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  1. Pinned Tweet
    Jul 13

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    7 replies 31 retweets 88 likes
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  2. 5 hours ago

    Swedish election 2018, SVT exit poll: Voting flow of what voters of the 8 biggest parties in 2018 voted in 2014. Voted the same party again S-S&D: 77% M-EPP: 72% MP-G/EFA: 63% SD-ECR: 54% V-LEFT: 45% L-ALDE: 45% C-ALDE: 37% KD-EPP: 30%

    1 reply 26 retweets 43 likes
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  3. 8 hours ago

    Italy, SWG poll: LEGA-ENF: 32% M5S-EFDD: 28% PD-S&D: 17% (-1) FI-EPP: 8% (+1) FdI-*: 4% PaP-LEFT: 3% (+1) +E-ALDE: 2% (-1) Field work: 5/09/18 – 10/09/18 Sample size: 1,500

    7 replies 26 retweets 53 likes
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  4. 9 hours ago

    Germany, INSA poll: CDU/CSU-EPP: 28% (-1) AfD-EFDD: 18% (+1) SPD-S&D: 17% (+1) GRÜNE-G/EFA: 14% LINKE-LEFT: 11% (+1) FDP-ALDE: 9% (-1) Field work: 7/09/18 – 10/09/18 Sample size: 2,042

    6 replies 94 retweets 111 likes
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  5. 11 hours ago

    Sweden, SVT exit poll Entrepreneurs and farmers: M-EPP: 26% (-9) SD-ECR: 25% (+17) S-S&D: 12% (-3) C-ALDE: 12% KD-EPP: 9% (+3) V-LEFT: 6% (+1) L-ALDE: 5% (-2) MP-G/EFA: 3% (-5) Change from 2014 exit poll in brackets Sample size: 11,630

    4 replies 23 retweets 39 likes
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  6. 12 hours ago

    Sweden, SVT exit poll Blue-collar workers: S-S&D: 31% (-8) SD-ECR: 26% (+15) M-EPP: 13% V-LEFT: 10% (+1) C-ALDE: 7% (+3) KD-EPP: 6% (+3) L-ALDE: 3% MP-G/EFA: 3% (-5) Change from 2014 exit poll in brackets Sample size: 11,630

    5 replies 37 retweets 51 likes
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  7. 12 hours ago

    Sweden, SVT exit poll White collar workers S-S&D: 25% (+1) M-EPP: 20% (-6) SD-ECR: 14% (+8) C-ALDE: 10% (+3) V-LEFT: 9% (+1) KD-EPP: 8% (+1) L-ALDE: 7% (-1) MP-G/EFA: 5% (-4) Change from 2014 exit poll in brackets Sample size: 11,630

    2 replies 12 retweets 23 likes
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  8. 12 hours ago

    Sweden: M-EPP and KD-EPP decline SD-ECR invitation for cooperation following the election result, according to Dagens Nyheter

    5 replies 54 retweets 113 likes
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  9. 12 hours ago

    Romania, Sociopol poll: PSD-S&D: 35% (-6) PNL-EPP: 20% (-) MRI-*: 14% (+7) ALDE-ALDE: 11% (-1) USR-*: 8% (+1) PRO-ECR: 3% (-2) UDMR-EPP: 3% (-1) PER-*: 1% (-1) PMP-EPP: 2% (+1) PNT-*: 1% (-) Field work: 07/08/18 – 20/08/18 Sample size: 1005

    1 reply 4 retweets 3 likes
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  10. 13 hours ago

    Sweden, SVT exit poll: Men: SD-ECR: 24% (+8) S-S&D: 23% (-7) M-EPP: 19% (-6) C-ALDE: 8% (+3) KD-EPP: 7% (+2) V-LEFT: 7% (+1) L-ALDE: 6% MP-G/EFA: 3% (-3) Change from 2014 exit poll in brackets Sample size: 11,630

    4 replies 14 retweets 30 likes
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  11. 15 hours ago

    Sweden: Correlations in change of support regionally High (+) correlation means support has changed same amount to same direction in same regions. High (-) correlation means to opposite direction eg. V-GUE/NGL gained where Fi-S&D decreased

    6 retweets 13 likes
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  12. 16 hours ago

    Sweden: Change of support regionally between 2014 and 2018. M losing most support in traditional urban strongholds, where S made minor gains despite losing support elsewhere. Gains for SD, C and V. For V especially in large cities

    3 replies 19 retweets 43 likes
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  13. 16 hours ago

    Germany, Civey poll: CDU/CSU-EPP: 28% (-3) SPD-S&D: 17% (-1) AfD-EFDD: 16% (+2) GRÜNE-G/EFA: 15% LINKE-LEFT: 10% FDP-ALDE: 8% Field work: 3/09/18 – 10/09/18 Sample size: 11,832

    1 reply 40 retweets 44 likes
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  14. 16 hours ago

    Sweden: Of those pollsters who declared a margin of error for their prediction, Demoskop predicted the result correctly within their interval.

    2 replies 11 retweets 30 likes
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  15. 16 hours ago

    France: Verhofstadt (VLD-ALDE) has announced that ALDE and REM have agreed upon an alliance for next year's EP elections. Christophe Castaner (REM-ALDE) has refuted Verhoftstadt's comment. Both Verhofstadt and Macron have spoken against Spitzenkandidaten process in the past week.

    1 reply 18 retweets 24 likes
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  16. 17 hours ago

    Sweden: Comparison of pollster accuracy in 2018 elections. Demoskop, SKOP and Inizio performed well, YouGov and Sentio inaccurate In general, S was underestimated by everyone, SD overestimated by YouGov and Sentio. V slightly overestimated

    3 replies 31 retweets 55 likes
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  17. 17 hours ago

    Sweden: Final election results S-S&D: 28.4% M-EPP: 19.8% SD-ECR: 17.6% C-ALDE: 8.6% V-LEFT: 7.9% KD-EPP: 6.4% L-ALDE: 5.5% MP-G/EFA: 4.3% Turnout: 84.4% Analysis and further statistical breakdown to follow

    20 replies 282 retweets 257 likes
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  18. Sep 9

    Spain: GAD3 poll: PSOE-S&D: 27% (-1) PP-EPP: 26% Cs-ALDE: 21% (+1) UP-LEFT: 16% (+1) ERC-G/EFA: 3% Vox-* 2% (+2) PdCAT-ALDE: 2% PNV-ALDE: 1% ehBildu-LEFT: 1% Field work: N/A Sample size: N/A

    10 replies 70 retweets 99 likes
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  19. Sep 9

    Sweden, election results (5957/6004 election districts counted): S-S&D: 28.4% M-EPP: 19.8% SD-ECR: 17.6% C-ALDE: 8.6% V-LEFT: 7.9% KD-EPP: 6.4% L-ALDE: 5.5% MP-G/EFA: 4.3%

    10 replies 85 retweets 93 likes
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  20. Sep 9

    Sweden: Results for M-EPP in recent elections 1982: 23.6% 1985: 21.3% 1988: 18.3% 1991: 21.9% 1994: 22.4% 1998: 22.9% 2002: 15.3% 2006: 26.3% (record high) 2010: 30.1% 2014: 23.3% 2018: 19.8% (5,937/6004 election districts counted)

    6 replies 23 retweets 40 likes
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  21. Sep 9

    Sweden (Stockholm county), election results (97.86% of election districts counted): M (EPP) stronghold M-EPP: 24.1% S-S&D: 23.5% SD-ECR: 12.9% V-LEFT: 9.6% C-ALDE: 8.8% L-ALDE: 7.4% KD-EPP: 6.1% MP-G/EFA: 6% Fi-S&D: 0.5%

    3 replies 24 retweets 39 likes
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