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EsotericCD's profile
Jeff B. is *BOX OFFICE POISON*
Jeff B. is *BOX OFFICE POISON*
Jeff B. is *BOX OFFICE POISON*
Verified account
@EsotericCD

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Jeff B. is *BOX OFFICE POISON*Verified account

@EsotericCD

Atty+friendly RINO. Polls, politics, postpunk. Cohost of @Political_Beats at @NRO. Dedicated to you, but you weren't listening.

Chicago, IL/Washington, DC
nationalreview.com/podcasts/polit…
Joined June 2010

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    1. Jeff B. is *BOX OFFICE POISON*‏Verified account @EsotericCD Jun 29

      Jeff B. is *BOX OFFICE POISON* Retweeted Taniel

      It's gonna be wild if Garcia closes the gap.https://twitter.com/Taniel/status/1409958667139436548 …

      Jeff B. is *BOX OFFICE POISON* added,

      TanielVerified account @Taniel
      Wow. Tight results in the NYC mayoral election (RCV just came out): Kathryn Garcia barely beats Maya Wiley in the penultimate round, then closes most but not all of the gap with Eric Adams in the final round. Adams 51%, Garcia 49%. A gap of 16K votes. (120K+ ballots remain.)
      Show this thread
      6 replies 6 retweets 57 likes
      Show this thread
      Jeff B. is *BOX OFFICE POISON*‏Verified account @EsotericCD Jun 29

      If Garcia** closes the gap on Adams after all the votes are in (very possible), I wonder how much public recrimination about RCV there's going to be. **given that Garcia barely edged out Wiley in the prior round, also a chance that WILEY could edge into the top 2

      1:45 PM - 29 Jun 2021
      • 6 Retweets
      • 20 Likes
      • Alexander Schneer Jennifer Alvarez Leo Strauss III Aaron Lippman Alex Barnes MATTMcAllister Abhishek Gupta Disabled Dyslexic Chaz Shanton
      10 replies 6 retweets 20 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Jeff B. is *BOX OFFICE POISON*‏Verified account @EsotericCD Jun 29

          Remember: Adams received over 10% more first-choice votes than either Wiley (22%) or Garcia (19%). Some people are going to be howling. Me, I'm just happy to be living in Chicago, where we've stopped caring about the Mayoral race at all because we know we're all doomed anyway.

          7 replies 6 retweets 65 likes
          Show this thread
        3. Jeff B. is *BOX OFFICE POISON*‏Verified account @EsotericCD Jun 29

          One of the reasons I firmly oppose to RCV is because, while its acolytes argue it "maximizes choice and utility!" I understand voters the way most voters (not RCV wonk nerds) really are: they usually have *AT MOST* one candidate they support, then don't know much about the rest.

          19 replies 9 retweets 83 likes
          Show this thread
        4. Jeff B. is *BOX OFFICE POISON*‏Verified account @EsotericCD Jun 29

          The RCV ballot doesn't "maximize democratic choice," it maximizes ignorance. Forcing a choice (fine, have a run-off if nobody gets to 50+1) not only clarifies outcomes, it tracks w/how humans, who are not perfectly rational spreadsheet quants, handle political choices and info.

          4 replies 12 retweets 65 likes
          Show this thread
        5. Jeff B. is *BOX OFFICE POISON*‏Verified account @EsotericCD Jun 29

          Jeff B. is *BOX OFFICE POISON* Retweeted Cameron O'Leary

          This guy (who is almost too perfect an example of the hothouse ignorant 'wannabe quant' attitude I'm talking about, he even has "acela" in his handle!) accidentally proves my pt: you really think 80% of voters were super-informed about picks #2-5?https://twitter.com/CamtrakAcela/status/1409978692487593990 …

          Jeff B. is *BOX OFFICE POISON* added,

          Cameron O'Leary @CamtrakAcela
          Replying to @EsotericCD
          80 percent of NYC voters ranked many choices. You don’t understand shit.
          8 replies 5 retweets 53 likes
          Show this thread
        6. Jeff B. is *BOX OFFICE POISON*‏Verified account @EsotericCD Jun 29

          Of course not. But, given the opportunity (not a compulsion, but we as humans are easily led along like mules by suggestive offerings) to rank the rest, they'll just start picking names capriciously. B/c all they REALLY know is their top pick, and maybe who they like least.

          4 replies 1 retweet 26 likes
          Show this thread
        7. End of conversation
        1. Brian Faughnan‏ @BrianFaughnan Jun 29
          Replying to @EsotericCD

          pic.twitter.com/Ifp7wKEhk4

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. New conversation
        2. Ogiel (Moe Lane)‏ @Ogiel23 Jun 29
          Replying to @EsotericCD

          Speaking dispassionately: what's entertaining me are all the people starting to say "Look, it works, NYC's just screwing it up..."

          2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
        3. Ed Carson‏Verified account @IBD_ECarson Jun 29
          Replying to @Ogiel23 @EsotericCD

          "Real ranked choice voting has never been tried..."

          0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. 21st Century Sigmoid Man  🌮 🥑‏ @chadmbol Jun 29
          Replying to @EsotericCD

          It will be great that the first high-profile use of RCV clearly shows its potential. Would have been worse if the person with a 10% lead among first place votes ended up winning the runoff by 10%. People would say "what was the point?"

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. Alex‏ @Alex_Z_01 Jun 29
          Replying to @EsotericCD

          Yeah that would definitely save Adams then.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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