I wouldn't necessarily make a call yet, but I have a very hard time seeing how Lipinski holds on in IL-3. Would be the first incumbent to lose a primary in 2020.
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Why? Because Lipinski's best areas (the part of his district that's in Chicago proper) is largely in, and he's not winning it by nearly as much as he did in 2018. Meanwhile far more of suburban Cook & Will remain out, and that's where Newman is actually beating her 2018 margins.
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Not hard to see a trendline and read the writing on the wall.
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out of step with his district
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Old people didn’t go out to vote because of Coronavirus.
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It is. She won there by 3.5 points last time. Up 6 now.
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Could Lipinski run as a GOP senator and give either dems a challenge? I don’t necessarily mean this cycle and I don’t mean he’s a Republican, but as a legit challenger to Durbin/duckworth?
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