Majority of Americans currently or formerly have had immediate family members incarcerated.
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So, there are 707 per 100,000 in the system. Which means that there are 999,293 per 100,000 who aren't. How does this support Boudin's claim that a "majority" of us have family members in prison?
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US currently incarcerates 2.3MM (way too many, I agree), but there are ~129MM households in the US. For the majority of households to have at least 1 member incarcerated, we would need 65MM prisoners minimum. For
@chesaboudin to not be a liar, we better start imprisoning & fast.pic.twitter.com/5sAngFJXBD
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To be fair, no-one told Chesa that there would be math in the job.
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Replying to @dwbudd @EsmeAlaki and
Just so we’re clear, the “math” offered above, estimating that 65MM Americans would need to be incarcerated for Chesa’s stmt to be true, is wrong in every possible respect. Just dead wrong.
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Replying to @borrfdad @EsmeAlaki and
The estimate of 65 mm requires almost maximum entropy (ie, that one and only one member per household s in prison). It presumes a lot of other things as well. But Chesa’s claim is embarrassingly wrong.
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I did not miss that bit of weaselage, but if you want to extend the definition of a family to everyone in that lineage to the beginning of time, then the number would probably be closer to 100% because every family has had someone incarcerated at some point in their history ...
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...which would make the statement completely pointless, data wise. Basically it would be like saying every family since the beginning of time has had someone die at childbirth. It is almost a tautology.
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