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Eric Snitil
@EricSnitilWx
Chief Meteorologist at WROC in Rochester, New York. NWA Seal Holder.
Rochester, New YorkJoined December 2013

Eric Snitil’s Tweets

Warm weather fans are reeeeeaaaaaaly going to want to take advantage of Friday. The trends for the remainder of April aren't exactly screaming spring warmth in Rochester from here. Of note, the Euro suggest several freezes are on the horizon.
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While #ROC is likely to miss out on the warmth tomorrow, Friday continues to trend warmer with partial sunshine. It's looking more likely we'll take another run at 80 degrees!
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Tomorrow will be one of those days where a one-size-fits-all number simply won't be good enough. A frontal boundary draped across WNY will result in a dramatic spread in temperatures into the afternoon. Temps in the 70s south will contrast with 40s north.
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Future Liam 3 years & 2 days from now...
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3 years and 2 days separate these pictures. Crazy to think it's been that long since I got my start on @WVNS59News at Noon on Apr. 17, 2020. It feels and looks like a lifetime ago. So grateful to be here @News_8 now continuing my journey. Here's to many more years! #anniversary
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An eye doctor appointment before work has me looking like this guy. In hindsight, staring at studio lights after getting your eyes dilated likely wasn't my wisest decision. Might have to rock the sunglasses on TV.
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Some perspective on Rochester's final freeze dates over the last several years. The end of April is the blended average, although freezes in May remain relatively common. These data are based off the ROC Airport. Dates vary by location.
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While there is plenty of year-to-year variability, it is not uncommon for Rochester to continue to experience freezes into May. Temperatures tonight could flirt with freezing & the pattern ahead suggests this won't be the last one.
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It isn't an exact science but I'd put us somewhere between stages 4-5. If nothing else, this brief cold snap will take the edge off the dirt bikes that were revved up over the weekend. #ROC
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What goes up must come down, right? Temperature probabilities (seen below, 6-10 & 8-14 day) suggest a relatively cooler flavor to our pattern for the remainder of April.
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After 6 straight days of at least 70° (3 of which were at least 80°), I came into work today and had to build a snow map. Quick bursts of wet snow could briefly whiten the ground most anywhere. Best chance for accumulation locally will be the high terrain of Wyoming county.
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So we're all on the same page, it was 82 degrees yesterday. Those are snowflakes tomorrow morning. WNY weather at its finest!
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On a positive note, allergy sufferers are rejoicing now that this stagnant airmass has moved on out. Continued showers in the forecast over the next (roughly) 48 hours will help keep pollen under control. Later this week, back to higher counts.
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While there will certainly be some gusty winds, I’m not seeing any compelling evidence of a severe weather threat for Rochester. This storm has died down quickly. Warning remains, but the threat is near zero IMO.
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While reflectivity remains unimpressive, velocity shows where the leading edge of stronger wind is racing eastward. If you happen to live where this thing has passed, let me know. Would love to get some ground truth to how strong those gusts are at ground level.
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New Severe Thunderstorm Warning polygon now extends all the way out to Rochester. You can see the leading edge of strong wind potential racing just out ahead of the rain. No promises this thing is still strong by the time it gets to ROC. Weakening seems most likely.
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New Severe Thunderstorm Warning just barely clips western Genesee and Orleans counties. Strong wind gusts the main threat with this. Loss of daytime heating likely serves to weaken this activity in time as it approaches Rochester later overnight.
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Thunderstorms to our west will curl in our direction later tonight and into the overnight hours. I suspect there will be enough instability for a few flashes and rumbles. Highly doubt anything gets frisky with regard to severe weather. Nail in the coffin for our warm weather.
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Cold water/air below, warm air above is generating a mirage on Lake Ontario this afternoon. It makes it look like the distant land is “floating”. Pretty cool!
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Some bookkeeping to take care of, Rochester officially broke a record warm "low" temperature yesterday. We dropped to 59°, breaking the old 58° record from 1896. Today, Rochester touched 84°, just one degree shy of the 85° record on this day from 1968.
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Lots of questions about that Air Quality Alert today. No, there's isn't a new hole in the ozone layer opening up over Rochester. Warm weather, sunshine & a general lack of air mixing helps ground ozone levels rise. Relatively common, a byproduct of this beautiful weather.
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Despite air temperatures around 80 degrees this weekend, something tells me swimmers in Lake Ontario will be sparse.
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On this day in 1896, Rochester set a record warm "low" temperature of 58°. We dropped to 59° this morning. If we can keep temperatures above 59° through 11:59pm tonight, we'll break that 127 year old record.
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For the sake of balancing this very warm Twitter feed, I present the forecast for Tuesday of next week. Temperatures will likely be cut in half compared to what they are now (80s to 40s) with scattered showers of chilly rain and wet snowflakes. Enjoy the warmth while it lasts!
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