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My favorite part of Pope Francis’ encyclical: A new prayer to help us commune with Nature: http://www.slate.com/blogs/future_tense/2015/06/18/pope_francis_encyclical_laudato_si_reframes_climate_change_as_a_human_rights.html …pic.twitter.com/3xOGXtjj3H
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Latest spaghetti plots for
#99L: Through the Florida Keys or over Cuba, then psbl rapid intensification in the GoM.pic.twitter.com/QdbpFPmKNS
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Of course, that 10% scenario would be really, really bad, which is what makes
#99L worth tracking closely. -
My current thoughts: 40% chance
#99L does nothing at all, ever. 40% chance it maxes at TS in GoM 10% chance of Cat 1-3+ hurricane in GoM. -
00Z model recap for
#99L: Major models show nothing til ~Sunday, after passing FL Keys. After that, TD/TS/Cat1/2/3/4/5 still in play in GoM. -
HWRF newly upgraded for 2016 has suffered from some outlandish forecasts ... like this one from 3 days ago. Nope.pic.twitter.com/PWLdN4OBZR
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Worst-case scenario still a possibility, according to latest HWRF. Here’s Wed am,
#Hermine headed toward Gulf Coast:pic.twitter.com/450wHRUfzb
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@RyanMaue HWRF simulated satellite forecast or scenario.pic.twitter.com/bKbWiA6iLR
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HWRF 00z progression of Invest 99L from nary a t-storm, thru Straits of FL as weak storm, into Gulf as monster. 5th fx run in a row.
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(that’s
#99L as an intensifying category 3 hurricane by Wednesday morning)https://twitter.com/EricHolthaus/status/769051742596202496 …
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Don’t underestimate a peak season tropical cyclone in Gulf of Mexico. Wide view of latest (00Z) HWRF run (Sat-Wed):pic.twitter.com/nQYhMveDh8
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Latest (00Z) HWRF rapidly intensifies
#99L to a major hurricane after passing FL Keys. This storm is not dead yet.pic.twitter.com/wD9oheE1Zv -
Breaking: Obama Designates World's Largest Marine Preserve In Hawaii http://bzfd.it/2ccXuq1 pic.twitter.com/UY0HU4dbc1
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you misspelled “human"https://twitter.com/TTrogdon/status/768980724930252801 …
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So great to have
@EricHolthaus in the@PacificStand family. Expect more expert quick-hits like this:https://psmag.com/the-latest-runs-of-the-hurricane-weather-research-and-forecast-system-have-backed-off-from-the-b1892075ea08#.8013mlncl … -
Invest 99L has been tracked for > 8-days now. Last 29 GFS forecasts:pic.twitter.com/sYLk1kLPlS
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Latest key messages from NHC regarding 99L issued 8 p.m. EDT Thursday. http://hurricanes.gov
#99L@NHCDirectorpic.twitter.com/zvp8i4hB3n
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being blown a kiss by your two year old is officially the best thing ever
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If you want intelligent accessible and empathetic coverage of weather & climate news, I present
@ericholthaus -
My next band will be called "sorry sack of clouds". cc:
@EricHolthaus
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Eric Holthaus
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