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Dr Ellie Murray, ScD
@EpiEllie
Epidemiology assistant professor |social media editor | cohost podcast| Causal inference for public health #epitwitter 🇨🇦
She, her, Drsites.bu.edu/causalJoined June 2013

Dr Ellie Murray, ScD’s Tweets

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Everyone keeps talking about covid becoming endemic, but as I listen to the conversation, it’s becoming more & more clear to me that very few of you know what “endemic” means. So here’s a thread on how pandemics end.
Oh Its Not Over Mad GIF
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imagine looking at the world & thinking the biggest problem right now is people who care about other people’s feelings
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The answer is: I’m overtired. I forgot I was using an RMD & so the output was below the code chunk & not in the console 🤦🏼‍♀️🤦🏼‍♀️
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Question for #RStats: why am I not getting any output displayed when I use the “margins” command on my regression model, even though I can clearly see it is computing the margins?
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Are COVID deaths overcounted? The answer is clear: no they are not. is the only expert you need when you want to know about excess death & we’re all lucky that he has written this explainer for us👇🏼
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A recent @washingtonpost opinion piece speculated that COVID-19 deaths are over-counted. Our new @ConversationUS article explains why this piece is flawed. COVID-19 deaths are not overcounted; most evidence indicates they are undercounted. Thread 1/6 theconversation.com/covid-19-death
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Jeff Zients is going to sacrifice American lives to the private market. Putting #COVID19 vaccines, treatments and diagnostics in the hands of pharma, biotech and insurance companies is good for business, not for pubilc health or people's lives.
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I did not know how badly I needed to see someone else clearly acknowledge in print that the *only* lesson this pandemic has really taught us is that we simply do not learn the lessons of pandemics. Thank you & Beatrice Adler-Bolton for this paragraph👇🏼
“For all of the horrors of the pandemic, we are aware of no actions taken during it by states or private industry that are not explained in full by the preexisting health-capitalist framework articulated in these pages. While it may be tempting to say that we have "learned from the pandemic," it is clear that none of its lessons were previously unknown, and we are unconvinced that any such learning has taken place. Just ask anyone who lived through the dawn of the ongoing AIDS crisis.”
-Introduction, Health Communism, by Beatrice Adler-Bolton & Artie Vierkant.
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This is the entirety of the problem, IMO: people who do not know anything about outbreak response cannot imagine how to do it & assume that means no one else knows either.
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Biden’s pandemic management has left much to be desired. But given Omicron’s contagiousness, the popularity of anti-vax ideology, and the federal structure of the U.S. government, I have a hard time envisioning how the White House could have prevented death on a massive scale twitter.com/avierkant/stat…
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In fall 2020, I tried a model of “all deadlines are suggestions” to ensure sufficient flexibility for students in a pandemic. They HATED it. Now, that course has weekly assignments & the students love it. I learned my lesson for sure.
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Is ANYONE doing "zero deadlines ever" because I see this strawman floating around a lot and I don't know anyone in real life that doesn't have at least a SUGGESTED turn-in date for students.
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I can decipher this one. The major source for covid mortality data is the National Vital Statistics System (NVSS). But I'm 99% sure Ferrer is talking about the National Notifiable Diseases Surveillance System (NDSS), a better source for real-time trends.
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LA County Dept of Public Health director says "CDC is looking at making some revisions to how [covid] deaths are counted..." which may reduce future reported covid deaths by 10-20% at 38:45 youtu.be/0Xbq5upK2xw?t=
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Reading old papers is fun. Microbiologist Alice Evans, in a 1934 paper on brucellosis, writes about "odious" & stigmatizing name "Malta fever". knew it pissed folks off in 1896. But yes, tell me how "woke" it is to explain how such names cause harm 100 years later.
Excerpt from 1934 paper, suggesting changing name of Malta fever.
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This is the story of a large parcel of land in the heart of Atlanta. For the last year activists have been working to stop plans to build a large police training facility on this public property. Police shot and killed an activist in the forest two nights ago.
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The South River Forest has been many things: Indigenous land, a prison farm, a dumping ground—and the keystone of an ambitious proposal to incorporate nature into Atlanta’s growth. Then came the plans for "Cop City." Inside the battle for the forest: atlantamagazine.com/great-reads/th
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Important preprint just posted related to COVID deaths vs. excess all-cause deaths. 268K excess deaths not assigned to COVID. Excess deaths up when COVID deaths up, less likely reported as COVID in South and Mountain divisions and non-metro counties.
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Wearing a mask that fits well and can be worn regularly will help you stay healthy from COVID-19, flu, and RSV when gathering. Also, consider testing right before getting together, especially if older people or others at high risk for severe COVID-19 will be present.
Text on a brilliant red background reads: Attending a Lunar New Year celebration? We recommend wearing a well-fitting, high-quality mask in public indoor spaces and getting tested for COVID-19 before and after attending. Visit boston.gov/bphc for more information on the Boston Public Health Commission
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A friend just started med school in Norway and the Norwegian government automatically assigned her a primary care doctor and the primary care doctor automatically scheduled her an initial visit and she didnt have to do anything at all! Why can’t the rest of us have nice things?!
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Having a midlife crisis because no one in my class had read Sense & Sensibility *or* watched the 1995 movie version 😱
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Our school also **refuses** to inform families of COVID cases in the classroom. How are we supposed to protect ourselves and slow the spread?
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Dispatch from a Manhattan Elementary School: 8 kids in class of 22 get covid. No note goes home to families because NYC DOE close contact letters have ended (1 covid test was sent). 2 parents run into each other at drugstore & start to put together how bad the situation is. 1/
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An interesting thing I am learning from my mentions: lots and lots of people think 99% means “any big number that is not exactly equal to 100%” In fact, 99% means 99 out of 100. Not 999 out of 1000, or 9,999 out of 10,000, or 99,999 out of 100,000. 99 out of 100.
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