People who support the desistance argument fail basic math. It's that simple. https://twitter.com/jessesingal/status/905149506429349888 …
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I make this argument as a 1.) degreed mathematician with a background in epidemiology, 2.) an NIH-funded PI, and 3.) an actual trans woman.
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@jessesingal is none of those and is a journalist who has never encountered the words "I'm sorry, I was wrong" laid out in that order.2 replies 3 retweets 25 likesShow this thread -
The desistance argument can be dismissed thusly: if 90% of trans kids desist, and ~1% of adults are trans...
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and some percentage of those ~1% of adults don't realize until adulthood, then where the fuck are the 10% of *openly questioning kids*?
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The desistance myth is an example of a failure to reconcile what could be considered Lagrangian vs Eulerian frames.
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This is isomorphic to sampling bias. The statistic simply doesn't hold when you view it from a lens of population dynamics.
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In simpler terms, the desistance narrative is wrong.
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