To analyze events in the tail, you need to explore the tail distribution.
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Put one way: 99.999% of aircraft servos work fine. But what happens when the 0.0001% don't? You can't use the population mean.
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You have to look at the behavior locally in the tail.
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Trans women of color are in the tail of the population distribution. There are so few that applying averages doesn't work.
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We have to understand the dynamics of their lives in the tail. We don't need to wait for a right wing extremist to kill us to be afraid.
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We can just be afraid. The statistics, broadly applied, don't apply locally.
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If we wait for it to happen, we were afraid too late. That's our reality. Those are our local features here in the tail.
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