Using total vote/precincts reporting, which is a crude measure, I get Iowa Dem turnout of about 163k. Some uncertainty, of course. If holds will be a little behind 2016’s 171k, making 2020 the 3rd highest
Conversation
I’m using Vox which says 71.22% precincts reporting not sure what the discrepancy is with news reports of 62% reporting. And I’m about to board a plane back to Florida which - for now is not the laughingstock of the country when it comes to elections
7
4
57
Run turnout estimate with Des Moines Register/AP data. Using their data, a simple projection of turnout/precincts reporting yields a turnout of 177k, which is slightlt higher than 2016's 171k. Again, this is a crude projection since precinct sizes vary
1
7
Has the population changed in the last 4 or 8 years? Maybe percentages give more accurate information
1
1
Show replies
That is less than half the population of Raleigh, NC.
That's like . . . Cary. This is like if Cary, NC got to have an outsized influence on the nominee.
(Except Cary wouldn't have an app that didn't work - lots of programers there.)
3
3
31
WAY SHORT of the 290k figure that analysts kept giving us. That's really something.
2
1
4
Dems spent billions of dollars to get 163,000 people to vote?
That’s ridiculous!
Sorry Iowa.
Not worth all this angst.
1
4
16
With 600,000+ registered Democrats in Iowa. Think how many more would have voted in a primary with early voting or vote by mail. The old, the disabled, the working people, the ones with childcare responsibilities. All disenfranchised by the caucus.
4
9