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ElectProject's profile
Michael McDonald
Michael McDonald
Michael McDonald
@ElectProject

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Michael McDonald

@ElectProject

Associate Professor at the University of Florida who specializes in American elections

Gainesville, FL
electproject.org
Joined September 2012

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    Michael McDonald‏ @ElectProject Oct 16

    1st day of Georgia's in-person #earlyvote: 69,023 people cast in-person votes, doubling the total early vote. Updating 2018/2014 same-day comparison of total early vote by race shows African-Americans are 2.7x their 2014 level, Whites are 1.6x. Bodes well for high turnoutpic.twitter.com/hpOvPeCAPp

    5:34 AM - 16 Oct 2018
    • 55 Retweets
    • 87 Likes
    • Elaine DeSimone Brett We Can Fightback CeeJayGee Ellis S. Belfer George Fayner Kristen Clarke Jess Rickey
    9 replies 55 retweets 87 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Michael McDonald‏ @ElectProject Oct 16

        Near parity among Afr-Am and Whites in mail ballots did not persist among the in-person voters. Afr-Ams are 29.9% of all registered voters and 34.6% of all early voters; Whites are 54.0% of reg voters and 54.2% of early voters. We'll see if the Afr-Am enthusiasm gap can hold...

        2 replies 7 retweets 28 likes
        Show this thread
      3. Michael McDonald‏ @ElectProject Oct 16

        There are signs of engagement among GA Hispanic and Asian-Amer voters. Hispanics are 9.0x their 2014 same-day #earlyvote level and Asian-Americans are 7.9x. These are coming from 2014 lows: only 243 Hispanics had voted at this time in 2014, compared to 2,177. Asians 304 vs. 2,402

        2 replies 22 retweets 59 likes
        Show this thread
      4. End of conversation
      1.  👠‏ @jhrizzy Oct 16
        Replying to @ElectProject

        It will get more diverse with weekend voting 👍

        0 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. (((Andy Lawler)))‏ @ALawler007 Oct 16
        Replying to @ElectProject @BowTiePolitics

        Do we know to what degree this is an indication of turn out, and to what degree this is simply people switching from regular voting to early voting?

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Bernie Babe‏ @caltron01 Oct 16
        Replying to @ALawler007 @ElectProject @BowTiePolitics

        I saw on another site that about 35% of early voters this time had not voted in the last midterm in 2018, so a significant percentage are new and previously disengaged voters.

        0 replies 0 retweets 6 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Colin Seeberger‏ @CMSeeberger Oct 16
        Replying to @ElectProject

        Do we have differences in turnout by age for these data sets, @ElectProject?

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Grant Blankenship‏ @Grant_Blank_ Oct 17
        Replying to @CMSeeberger @ElectProject

        Check http://Georgiavotes.com 

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      4. End of conversation
      1. Tom Smith‏ @tomlovespaula Oct 16
        Replying to @ElectProject

        Do we have a breakdown by age and gender?

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. Von Vonson‏ @von_vonson Oct 16
        Replying to @ElectProject

        Do you know if this has Latinx merged with white?

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Grant Blankenship‏ @Grant_Blank_ Oct 17
        Replying to @von_vonson @ElectProject

        Georgia breaks out those demos.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. Paul Mitchell‏ @paulmitche11 Oct 16
        Replying to @ElectProject

        I don’t know the elections policy in GA, but in CA the comparison to prior years suffers from a lot of policy changes that increase the early vote, not related to enthusiasm (more all-mail counties, more absentee voters). Anything like this in GA?

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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      2. EVO‏ @great_northland Oct 16
        Replying to @ElectProject

        Are whites that didn’t vote in 2014 more likely to be Dem?

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Uproarious B.I.G‏ @atlsportscholar Oct 16
        Replying to @great_northland @ElectProject

        I sure hope so, but it's hard to say. Turnout among young voters was pitiful in 2014 (I was among the many who didn't vote that year), and I have reason to believe that the demographic of young voters in GA is more Dem-leaning than their parents. But many, many factors involved.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. nhcohen‏ @nhcohen Oct 16
        Replying to @ElectProject

        What’s up with other? Huge no?

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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