Michael McDonald

@ElectProject

Associate Professor at the University of Florida who specializes in American elections

Gainesville, FL
Joined September 2012

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  1. Pinned Tweet
    17 Nov 2016

    My turnout rates for the 2016 general election

  2. Retweeted
    2 hours ago

    Arkansas becomes only state to comply with Trump voter fraud commission's request for voter info: report

  3. Retweeted
    2 hours ago
  4. Retweeted
    7 hours ago

    New Report Finds Dramatic Increase in Voter Registration For States that Comply with “Motor Voter” Law

  5. Retweeted
    11 hours ago

    Kobach data request already leading to voter suppression because people asking to be taken off voter rolls

  6. 12 hours ago
    Replying to

    Which is to say midterm election models based on economic performance/president approval are making out of sample forecast for 2018

  7. 12 hours ago
    Replying to

    And how much voters will hold Reps accountable for Trumpcare another matter, given still uncertain it actually passes

  8. 12 hours ago
    Replying to

    OTOH, while we've seen a Dem shift in the special elections, how much voters will punish Reps for Trump is still open question if economy OK

  9. 12 hours ago
    Replying to

    Reps must be watching the economy nervously, since if it falters next year, the bottom will likely fall out of their 2018 reelection chances

  10. 12 hours ago

    It is remarkable how low Trump's approval rating is given the strong employment/economy

  11. 12 hours ago
    Replying to

    Kobach gave states 2 weeks to respond to voter file request. What other data is he requesting? Why the hurry if they haven't gotten it yet?

  12. 12 hours ago
    Replying to

    It is a little troubling to me that we don't know what other data the voter files will be matched against. Where are these data coming from?

  13. 12 hours ago
    Replying to

    An excited new citizen registers to vote first, updates drivers license later (who among us likes to go to the DMV?)

  14. 13 hours ago
    Replying to

    Problem w/ noncitizen identifiers is citizenship in other databases lags voter reg, which is often taking place at naturalization ceremonies

  15. 13 hours ago
    Replying to

    States issue drivers licenses to noncitizens and flag them, so could match to identify noncitizens, but election officials do this already

  16. 13 hours ago
    Replying to

    Not clear what other federal databases available. There has been no request for state drivers license databases that I am aware of

  17. 13 hours ago
    Replying to

    Commission needs last 4 SSN & birthdate to run voter files against SSA data (SSA Inspector General said shouldn't be used for this purpose)

  18. 13 hours ago

    Of course they are, but good to have confirmation

  19. Retweeted
    Jul 6

    BREAKING NEWS: ACLU of NH Challenges Disclosure of Statewide Voter Information. READ if you care about your PRIVACY.

  20. Retweeted
    Jul 6

    NH's GOP is pushing bill to add new requirements to prove "residence" so as to make voter registration more onerous:

  21. Jul 6

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