So the question is if everything was done right, at the right time, and based on the science how are we heading for the largest per capita death toll?
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Replying to @1daneman @michaelgove
Based on the current trajectory and our initial spread start then yes. However as with all projections nothing is definite until it's definite. Including deaths outside of hospitals would I fear make numbers even bleaker.
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We aren't counting deaths outside of hospitals and we are weeks behind in the life span of the viral spread. My point was for a government to say everything was done perfectly is patently untrue given the death toll being projected. To say otherwise IS misinformation.
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No one is counting deaths outside hospital Germany have a big care home issue, the deaths are not counted in their figurespic.twitter.com/jBC3GYm82I
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No one is saying things have been done perfectly, they followed the science, that is not the same thing WHO declared a high risk on the 28th February, a pandemic on the 11th March The NERVTAG minutes are in the public domain You think they should've locked down at low threat?
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I think we should've been better prepared. I think stocks of PPE should have been maintained. I think over the past decade the NHS shouldn't have been hobbled. I think as the situation grew worse our PM shouldn't have been AWOL. I think this is the worse time for government spin.
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You're wrong The UK was #2 in the 2019 pandemic preparedness index Everyones plan was for influenza This may not have been Corona, it might have been a contact spread - if the next pandemic is like ebola it needs completely different kit You are wielding hindsight as a weaponpic.twitter.com/baymE7MqQ2
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The disease couldve been more like measles, or cholera, or small pox, or Ebola, or influenza... They have stocks to cover short periods of all different kinds of disease Covid19 can be asymptomatic and we could be in lock down for a year - no one can prepare for that!
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Even when it was clear the direction things were going foresight was lacking. Even now we have internal production capacity for essential items either not being used or only just. The NHS and reserves of PPE are essential in all medical crisis BTW.
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