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EconTalker's profile
Russell Roberts
Russell Roberts
Russell Roberts
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@EconTalker

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Russell RobertsVerified account

@EconTalker

Podcaster, author, filmmaker http://EconTalk.org  http://RussRoberts.info  I block people who assume the worst of me w/o knowing or caring what I actually believe or say.

econtalk.org
Joined May 2009

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    1. Russell Roberts‏Verified account @EconTalker 16 Apr 2019

      Here's how the brain consumes numbers. Someone puts out a number that proves that the US health care system is worse than any country in Europe, or 40% of the American people live paycheck to paycheck or hate crimes go up 226% in counties where Trump gives a speech. These...

      21 replies 75 retweets 284 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Russell Roberts‏Verified account @EconTalker 16 Apr 2019

      are all examples I've commented on in the last few days. My point is a simple one. Usually these numbers are the result of either complex calculations or very particular assumptions. They aren't the same as facts. But your brain...

      1 reply 1 retweet 42 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Russell Roberts‏Verified account @EconTalker 16 Apr 2019

      struggles to tell the difference. It thinks it's read a fact. Sure sometimes this is confirmation bias. But sometimes it's just hard to avoid your brain reading it like a fact. It's a number and your brain want to treat it like a fact. I point this out and people respond by...

      1 reply 1 retweet 34 likes
      Show this thread
    4. Russell Roberts‏Verified account @EconTalker 16 Apr 2019

      saying, oh come on. You're biased. You just don't like the conclusion. Maybe the number is true! How can you complain about the number if you haven't read the underlying analysis? Because I know how the game is played...

      1 reply 1 retweet 38 likes
      Show this thread
    5. Russell Roberts‏Verified account @EconTalker 16 Apr 2019

      The numbers are usually created to make news. To scare you. To rile you up. To get you to click through. And I know how many assumptions people have to make to get at some of these numbers--the things they can't control for or the opportunities they have ...

      1 reply 3 retweets 61 likes
      Show this thread
    6. Russell Roberts‏Verified account @EconTalker 16 Apr 2019

      Russell Roberts Retweeted Paul Millerd  ✍ 📖

      to make the number come out the way they want. But then you go and actually check. As @p_millerd did here: https://twitter.com/p_millerd/status/1118071142311288838 … and what do people say then? They say...

      Russell Roberts added,

      Paul Millerd  ✍ 📖 @p_millerd
      1/ There is a common line repeated in the media: "Fed survey shows 40 percent of adults still can’t cover a $400 emergency expense" Inspired by @EconTalker to go deeper and question things I read, here is a perfect example of how people cherry pick data to fit their narrative. pic.twitter.com/S6Goz5djbU
      Show this thread
      5 replies 5 retweets 36 likes
      Show this thread
    7. Russell Roberts‏Verified account @EconTalker 16 Apr 2019

      Oh, so maybe the number's only 20% who live paycheck to paycheck! That's not a problem?!?! Maybe it is. Maybe it isn't. My point is that the 40% is designed to rile you up and it did. Or the health care number--the US has the worst health care system! I've looked at numbers...

      1 reply 1 retweet 26 likes
      Show this thread
    8. Russell Roberts‏Verified account @EconTalker 16 Apr 2019

      like this often. Not only do you get to decide what goes into the index, you can weight things differently too. There are plenty of ways to weight the components so the US wouldn't be last. But when I point out that the numbers subjective and unscientific, people respond...

      1 reply 1 retweet 24 likes
      Show this thread
    9. Russell Roberts‏Verified account @EconTalker 16 Apr 2019

      by saying. Oh, c'mon, are you saying the US health care system is efficient?!?! Of course it's not. I've said so many times in print and on EconTalk. But the goofy made up index that "proves" the US is worse than Europe isn't why it's inefficient. I knew that already...

      1 reply 1 retweet 29 likes
      Show this thread
    10. Russell Roberts‏Verified account @EconTalker 16 Apr 2019

      All the number does is make you rage against the stupidity. And yes, it's stupid. But there are many things about the US system that are better than various European systems. That's all missing. The number gets in your head if you're not careful and you ignore all that...

      1 reply 1 retweet 30 likes
      Show this thread
      Russell Roberts‏Verified account @EconTalker 16 Apr 2019

      If you're going to pretend to use science to justify your opinions, use good science. Not bad science. I'm trying to make the point that the numbers we often invoke to prove things are the way they are, are often wildly inaccurate. If your diagnosis is wrong, you're cure..

      4:17 PM - 16 Apr 2019
      • 5 Retweets
      • 77 Likes
      • Tennyson Heen 💀🖤 #justiceforjohnnydepp #amberheardisanabuser Rob Hill Claudia Husemann Julien Lafleur os luc taesch Casey Caprini Cornelius X. Carroll
      3 replies 5 retweets 77 likes
        1. Russell Roberts‏Verified account @EconTalker 16 Apr 2019

          is likely to be also.

          8 replies 3 retweets 43 likes
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        1. Curie, Tesla & Roentgen, LLC‏ @Radxraymd 16 Apr 2019
          Replying to @EconTalker

          Lies, damn lies and statistics

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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