I wonder if the drivers have pressure to get a meal to you in an allotted time. ie, if this is signaling by the corporation to force Snow Crash's Hiro-style delivery speeds.
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Maybe they've mastered stats and ML so well that they've learned over-optimistic predictions increase the likelihood of ordering again in the future. But probably not.
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Maybe they're optimizing for optimism rather than accuracy.
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Quite literally their financial strategy.
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Whatever you're about to order is already in transit
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This doesn't sound terribly rational when you consider the fact that in companies as large as Uber, those two teams would normally function pretty much independently of each other, almost like two separate companies. Not ideal but that's how it is in most cases.
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He probably knows that. The point is while it's great to be working on bigger plans, they should at least put some effort to get these little things right.
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It's not that they haven't mastered ML, rather they HAVE mastered time travel through tachyon manipulation.
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Please keep us posted how this turns out
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Also, a taxi 10 km away from your pick up point can't have an arrival ETA of 2 minutes, even if traffic is scarce.
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Im convinced its intentional. Some weird signaling. They know it takes more than 5 minutes. We know that as well and we know that they know, but we like the possibility that it is actually 5 minutes and they are happy to keep us in our comfortable delusion.
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If we know that as well, why would we like it? I'm certainly annoyed as hell by it, it e.g. throws off multistep plans with others
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In fact I tend to recalibrate using scale factor 2 and a nontrivial prop. of the time it's still behind schedule
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Well I guess what I'm saying is that we wouldn't actually use the service as much if we really knew how long it'd take. So i think they are playing on that and although we mostly know that the estimates are shite, we still hold out for the low chance when it is correct.
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I think it’s more likely that it’s a software bug that could be fixed by writing more (unit) tests
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Maybe they're right on average. I was told a meal that had *already been delivered* would take another 15 minutes.
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plus the time it takes the driver to jizz in the meal.
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