https://xkcd.com/1968/ is #TheLastDerail in a nutshell. I can try to imagine hypotheses, but I'm not sure why Randall Monroe thinks this a clever thing to say. If I wrote a fictional character saying this straight out, I'd be accused of writing a 2D straw character.
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I don’t read it that way. I think he’s fully on your side in stressing the importance of AI risk. Diff is, AGI is some unknown years out w possibly big unseen hurdles ahead. Dimmer AIs controlling swarms of weaponized drones is almost already upon us, and it’s kind of a big deal
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Stressing risks unrelated to AGI and derailing AGI conversations by crying "AI risk!" ain't on my side. Drones are as unrelated to AGI as assault rifles are to drones. Derailing a drone conversation with "Let's talk about currently deadly machines!" wouldn't be on Monroe's side.
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What? It’s all AI risk. AI swarms are much different than just drones. And the comparisons to rifles? Geez. Nobody is trying to derail your concerns about AGI dude
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It's all "machine risk". No, better yet, it's all "objects made of matter risk". Why worry about drone thingies when bullet thingies are higher-status and less nerdy?
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I’m in fact a card-carrying nerd myself, I’m not one to shy away from neediness. But if you really think that weaponized drone swarms coordinated by machines processing massive amounts of information in real time doesn’t fall under “AI risk”.... well then that’s what you think
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Then I'm uninterested in AI risk. I specialize in the mostly unrelated issues of AGI. Of course they're both made of computers, and likewise computers and assault rifles are both made of matter; but AI and AGI and assault rifles all three have few problems or solutions in common.
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(*Rarely* there is work on ML robustness general enough that it might genuinely scale up to AGI or to components of AGI. "Adversarial examples" is one honest and unforced example that comes to mind.)
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I disagree with you on most of that, but I’m happy to have you focus entirely on AGI, which you do very well, while Randall and I fret about lesser machine intelligences that might nonetheless be civilizational game changers
End of conversation
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