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ESYudkowsky's profile
Eliezer Yudkowsky
Eliezer Yudkowsky
Eliezer Yudkowsky
Verified account
@ESYudkowsky

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Eliezer YudkowskyVerified account

@ESYudkowsky

Ours is the era of inadequate AI alignment theory. Any other facts about this era are relatively unimportant, but sometimes I tweet about them anyway.

Joined June 2014

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    1. Eliezer Yudkowsky‏Verified account @ESYudkowsky Feb 13

      Eliezer Yudkowsky Retweeted Eric Alper

      Get quantum mechanics right the first time before anyone has a chance to screw it up, do the same in science stats, do the same in decision theory, and hope future generations remember what I said about AGI. Plus all the stuff that goes without saying.https://twitter.com/ThatEricAlper/status/962188018978193408 …

      Eliezer Yudkowsky added,

      Eric AlperVerified account @ThatEricAlper
      You wake up in 1918. What job are you qualified to do?
      12 replies 8 retweets 128 likes
      Show this thread
      Eliezer Yudkowsky‏Verified account @ESYudkowsky Feb 13

      Prevent the Great Depression using NGDPLT, get the Ashkenazis out of Europe, keep leaded gasoline from being a thing, invent antibiotics and try to head off antibiotic resistance, invent evolutionary psychology before Freud gets too far, try to head off New Age environmentalism.

      1:03 AM - 13 Feb 2018
      • 3 Retweets
      • 91 Likes
      • Autochthon🐸 John Dickson 🎃E. Harding🎃 Easton Smith Sviga Lae Laura Spooky Lewis Jihong Park
      12 replies 3 retweets 91 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Hector Yee‏ @eigenhector Feb 13
          Replying to @ESYudkowsky

          I hope you back tested on a few universes in case of unintended consequences

          1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
        3. Eliezer Yudkowsky‏Verified account @ESYudkowsky Feb 13
          Replying to @eigenhector

          Don't worry, I only named interventions whose results I could all foresee! That's why I didn't include giving Hitler a scholarship to architecture school.

          3 replies 0 retweets 6 likes
        4. Vitalik Non-giver of Ether‏Verified account @VitalikButerin Feb 14
          Replying to @ESYudkowsky @eigenhector

          I feel like what happened with Germany in 1930-45 was so close to pessimal that rolling the dice by enticing key players to go off and do something else is almost certainly a large improvement.

          3 replies 1 retweet 12 likes
        5. Vitalik Non-giver of Ether‏Verified account @VitalikButerin Feb 15
          Replying to @VitalikButerin @ESYudkowsky @eigenhector

          On second thought, I do *kinda* see your point; there are unforeseeable consequences if you take the other big players around that time into account.

          0 replies 2 retweets 3 likes
        6. End of conversation
        1. New conversation
        2. András‏ @adrwtp Feb 13
          Replying to @ESYudkowsky

          Surely sticking a bullet through Hitler's head (and perhaps all the other early Nazis for certainty) is easier than getting all the Ashkenazis to move?

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Eliezer Yudkowsky‏Verified account @ESYudkowsky Feb 13
          Replying to @adrwtp

          I didn't say that immediately because I'd have to think hard about what happens with the Soviet Union and nuclear weapons if you shoot Hitler. They weren't fun times but there were worse possible outcomes for that decade and I don't know offhand how to reroll those dice.

          1 reply 0 retweets 7 likes
        4. 2 more replies
        1. ≠ Dividualism ≠‏ @DividualsTweet Feb 13
          Replying to @ESYudkowsky

          You'd have a better chance preventing AH from getting elected than convincing the Ashkenazis that they are in danger. Basically you need to find an authoritarian, law-and-order-and-firm-hand but humane and non-bloodthirsty leader. One of the Prussian generals.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. New conversation
        2. Srijit Sanyal‏ @_Srijit Feb 13
          Replying to @ESYudkowsky

          Yeah good luck convincing anyone to unilaterally abandon gold standard, or being more persuasive than Fleming about penicillium.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3. 2 more replies
        1. C‏ @chrisinillinois Feb 17
          Replying to @ESYudkowsky

          The leaded gasoline thing x 100.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Percival Krusen‏ @percival_krusen Feb 13
          Replying to @ESYudkowsky

          How are you qualified to do all these things? Sure you could introduce the ideas, but how do you plan to command such powerful influence over millions of people to actually effect the changes?

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Studious Man-Ape‏ @FreakaDoodleDoo Feb 13
          Replying to @ESYudkowsky

          With that much timeline disruption, we'd be certain to wind up in some dystopian bizarro-world where we all have lizard-tongues or some shit.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Noah Topper‏ @NoahTopper Feb 13
          Replying to @ESYudkowsky

          Fun to see a smart person answer this question.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. New conversation
        2. Daniel Houck‏ @daniel_houck Feb 13
          Replying to @ESYudkowsky

          Most of those require resources other than advance knowledge. How would you get people to listen to you in time to (e.g.) implement NGDPLT?

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Daniel Houck‏ @daniel_houck Feb 13
          Replying to @daniel_houck @ESYudkowsky

          Oh, I got confused on the dates. A decade should be enough time to get some influence, though I’m not sure you could manage all of that even if you could manage any one thing. As long as you prioritized sensibly it probably would be worth trying, though.

          2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. Srijit Sanyal‏ @_Srijit Feb 13
          Replying to @daniel_houck @ESYudkowsky

          At a time when modern GDP statistics have barely been begun, his going to tell everyone they should drop the gold standard because of something called "NGDPLT"?

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        5. End of conversation
        1. Ricardo Bánffy‏ @rbanffy Feb 13
          Replying to @ESYudkowsky

          Wouldn't preventing the Great Depression also prevent the Keynesian economics from gaining broader acceptance?

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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