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ESYudkowsky's profile
Eliezer Yudkowsky
Eliezer Yudkowsky
Eliezer Yudkowsky
Verified account
@ESYudkowsky

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Eliezer YudkowskyVerified account

@ESYudkowsky

Ours is the era of inadequate AI alignment theory. Any other facts about this era are relatively unimportant, but sometimes I tweet about them anyway.

Joined June 2014

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    1. Eliezer Yudkowsky‏Verified account @ESYudkowsky 16 Dec 2017

      Eliezer Yudkowsky Retweeted Dr. Holly Witteman

      Whenever you see a story like this, you may be nearly certain that regulatory supply restrictions were at work. It's not just that Soviet Russia has long lines, but that *only* government overreach produces lines like this.https://twitter.com/hwitteman/status/941811086768123905 …

      Eliezer Yudkowsky added,

      Dr. Holly Witteman @hwitteman
      Recently, my husband got an email that they finally have a spot open at a Toronto daycare where we got put on a wait list while I was pregnant. Child is now 11yo.
      Show this thread
      11 replies 15 retweets 50 likes
    2. Michael Handy‏ @Michaeljhandy 16 Dec 2017
      Replying to @ESYudkowsky

      I suspect it's more a natural skills shortage. I've seen it in every western dense urban area I know of. Supply is low because Child Care is highly skilled, labour intensive, low pay, mostly only open to women, and with substantial stress and liability associated with it.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    3. Eliezer Yudkowsky‏Verified account @ESYudkowsky 16 Dec 2017
      Replying to @Michaeljhandy

      If there is a 10-year line because employee pay is low, increase prices and pay your workers more...?

      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
    4. mariellevolz‏ @mariellevolz 16 Dec 2017
      Replying to @ESYudkowsky @Michaeljhandy

      Costs are fundamentally limited by the salaries of the child's parents. At a certain threshold of cost, parents will leave work and will take care of the children themselves.

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    5. Michael Handy‏ @Michaeljhandy 16 Dec 2017
      Replying to @mariellevolz @ESYudkowsky

      Additionally, the work, at least where I live (Australia) is VERY low status (basically, you are a kid janitor.), and requires a fairly high level diploma. It's a vocational career. To change this you'd probably need to make it like oil rig pay, near 6 figures.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Eliezer Yudkowsky‏Verified account @ESYudkowsky 16 Dec 2017
      Replying to @Michaeljhandy @mariellevolz

      Look, you do not normally get to simultaneously talk about 11 - year wait times *and* prices not being able to go high enough to pay for supply. Normally you raise prices some, supply increases some, demand drops some, the long lines go away.

      11:19 PM - 16 Dec 2017
      • 2 Likes
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      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        1. Michael Handy‏ @Michaeljhandy 16 Dec 2017
          Replying to @ESYudkowsky @mariellevolz

          It's not price, it's status. It's a skilled job occupying a social and pay niche usually dominated with unskilled workers. So you can either raise job status so people want to do it, raise prices so far nannies wages rise, raising demand further, or let unskilled people do it.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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