#UI So many process time estimates would be more useful as 90% probability upper and lower bounds.
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Replying to @ESYudkowsky
When we covered the basics of elicitation in a course
@PardeeRAND, it was pointed out that asking for a 100% CI is useful to use as a 90% CI1 reply 0 retweets 1 like -
Because people are bad at estimating thing. Story: asked a fellow student for *100% CI* for how long it'll take to drive home. 15-25 minutes
1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
Replying to @davidmanheim @PardeeRAND
I'm asking for computers to do it. File transfer times. Food delivery times.
11:42 AM - 20 Jul 2017
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