When we covered the basics of elicitation in a course @PardeeRAND, it was pointed out that asking for a 100% CI is useful to use as a 90% CI
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Because people are bad at estimating thing. Story: asked a fellow student for *100% CI* for how long it'll take to drive home. 15-25 minutes
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I'm asking for computers to do it. File transfer times. Food delivery times.
End of conversation
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i want to see the principle "the effort in the ui required to do something should be proportionate to its impact"
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if you want to delete 100 files, it should show a slider you drag from left to right, not a button that you click in a millisecond
End of conversation
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Estimating a confidence interval is much trickier to implement than multiplying a moving average by items remaining. Need better tools.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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