Elon Musk’s Fixation on Killer AI Distracts from Much More Immediate Problems with Smart Machines https://www.wired.com/story/elon-forget-killer-robots-focus-on-the-real-ai-problems/ … by @tsimonite
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Replying to @etzioni @tsimonite
I find it fascinating that "The total extinction of human life might distract us from malfunctioning cars!" *works* as a derailment tactic.
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Replying to @ESYudkowsky @tsimonite
The fallacy here is the one that underlies pascal's wager. The assertion of infinite disutility shouldn't undermine all rational arguments.
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Replying to @etzioni @tsimonite
The fallacy is in thinking that if disutility must be large therefore probability must be small!http://lesswrong.com/lw/z0/the_pascals_wager_fallacy_fallacy/ …
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Replying to @ESYudkowsky @tsimonite
Nobody is saying that. The arguments that the probability is large are not compelling.
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Powerful AGI = scientifically novel mission-critical software, subject to sorta-adverse optimization pressures, that must work on 1st try
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