Elon Musk’s Fixation on Killer AI Distracts from Much More Immediate Problems with Smart Machines https://www.wired.com/story/elon-forget-killer-robots-focus-on-the-real-ai-problems/ … by @tsimonite
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Replying to @etzioni @tsimonite
I find it fascinating that "The total extinction of human life might distract us from malfunctioning cars!" *works* as a derailment tactic.
3 replies 3 retweets 22 likes -
Replying to @ESYudkowsky @tsimonite
The fallacy here is the one that underlies pascal's wager. The assertion of infinite disutility shouldn't undermine all rational arguments.
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Replying to @etzioni @tsimonite
The fallacy is in thinking that if disutility must be large therefore probability must be small!http://lesswrong.com/lw/z0/the_pascals_wager_fallacy_fallacy/ …
3 replies 0 retweets 4 likes -
Can we maybe discuss whether the probability of absolute disaster is over or under 50%, before saying "Pascal's Wager! Conversation ended!"
2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
Fermi put probability of nuclear weapons at 10%, Rabi said "10% is not small", *and then it actually happened*.
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