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Replying to @danielharan @superforecaster
I'll bet you $10 against $990 if you actually believe the probability is greater than 99%.
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Replying to @ESYudkowsky @superforecaster
standing to lose $990 ensures I will pay an organization to make this happen. Your objective? :)
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Replying to @danielharan
I'd consider that a nice return on $10 and am still happy to make the bet.
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Replying to @ESYudkowsky
I'd take the bet, only I don't have $990 handy for at least a couple months :)
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Replying to @danielharan
Well, the bet doesn't settle until 2018. But never bet anything you're not okay with losing.
1:12 AM - 1 Mar 2017
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