@bryan_caplan How in the name of God is this Pascal's Wager? The price of the bet is set at 50-50!
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"Pascal's Wager" means "bad". E.g., "This milk expired a week ago, so it's essentially just Pascal's Wager."
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I think it's because both are eschatological a dumb, incidental, characterization of Pascal's wager.
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Bryan might instead be saying he thinks he has an infinitesimal chance of losing.
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sure, I'm referring to Dillinger.
End of conversation
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*I* think I'm betting against an astronomically unlikely risk. As I said, you plainly don't.
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We'll, I'd say the most important feature of Pascal's Wager is the argument from consequences...
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