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Good to know that anything not directly observable is unknowable until after it happens! Have you tried applying this amazing insight evenhandedly to other fields where outsiders are skeptical that anybody can really know anything, like economics?
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No. When you're dealing with Knightian uncertainty, there's no universally accepted mechanism for determining what reasonable probabilities are.
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Well, if someone does say the numbers are small and nobody should worry, there's really no data to contradict (or support) them.
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"We're all going to die at the hands of AI" is the traditional opinion of AI. The evidence over the last year is AI becoming extremely powerful, whist also being wholly benign and wholly alignable suggests that our limbic system isn't the best judge of these things.
Isn’t #AI misleading b/c: It’s not intelligent; It can’t reason or be reasoned with; It can’t learn despite labels as “machine learning.” At core, AI compiles data & runs permutations for best outcomes, and stores & recalls prior outcomes. AI ever halt an execution & correct?
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