In case you're confused what I'm trying to convey, it must be that I endorse this basic style of reasoning but I think the second video provides strong evidence of AGI in 2025. You should make fun of my premature alarm, since the second video *clearly* indicates AGI in 2044.
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Prikaži ovu nitHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi
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Never tire of saying...late 1930’s, greatest minds, nuclear chain reaction 30-50 yrs away...1942 Chicago experiment, chain reaction...1945 Trinity...1945 Hiroshima/Nagasaki. Analogy for inspiration...
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ahh, you talk about this era where people devoted their entire life to their vocation instead of just having a job while pursuing personal happiness. I read about those people
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Maybe I miss your point, but if I'm not mistaken Boston Dynamics rely on advanced control systems rather than AI in their robots. Ergo should not matter for forecasting AGI.
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I assumed he was using it as more of a System 1 reminder of how even those closest to the tech can be terribly wrong about their predictions and timeline (https://humanscience.fandom.com/wiki/Worst_Predictions …) and that being wrong here is a monumental existential threat.
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Wait til you see video of the drone swarms. Your timelines are going to lose 10 years so fast they'll have a midlife crisis.
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As someone commented it doesn’t look like the beginning of the end it looks like the middle of the end.
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okey dokey so 2025 it is
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AI is clearly 50 years off. The below robot would not even make second place in a regional gymnastics competition let alone nationals:https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=YdnJI9T-yXI …
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Right side: double expresso simulation Left side: after work beers simulation
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