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I'm not gonna defend EY's behavior overall, but I do want to take a deep sigh and say, literally yes on this point. Every method I know for conflict resolution includes a step in which Person A makes sure they've heard & understood Person B correctly, by reflecting / rephrasing.
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The original "Non-violent communication" book might be a better recommendation, BTW. In this case, Glen said " should feel free to correct me if I get his views wrong" . Which he did. At that point the appropriate response is a retraction, & start over.
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(I have no opinion on the specific issue being discussed - but do feel strongly that making an incorrect claim about what someone else thinks needs to be followed up with a clear statement that it was based on an incorrect understanding.)
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I unfortunately have had a policy for over a decade of not putting numbers on a few things, one of which is AGI timelines and one of which is *non-relative* doom probabilities. Among the reasons is that my estimates of those have been extremely unstable.
I see. My 95% was based on your 30:1 estimate (I assumed that in most non ruinous scenarios the likelihood of elite capture is high because I believe AI is currently elite captured). I am sorry if this doesn’t represent your views
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