Prior probability on prison suicide is higher than I expected but still appears to be around 0.1%.
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This was exactly my reaction. Suicide my ass. https://twitter.com/AlanMCole/status/1160177514716774401 …
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To put in perspective my original reaction: I've read in the news about a lot of people awaiting trial for newsworthy crimes. The first time I recall hearing about "suicide" is the one who might have incriminated the broadest range of powerful people across multiple nations.
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End of conversation
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Not until
@michaelshermer endorses this!Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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Suicide not especially improbable given a prior attempt; this differs from usual conspiracy theory territory in that murder (or just assistance with the attempt) is also plausible, not that it's guaranteed the case.
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Thus Spake Eliezer. hear it
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EY on point.
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