If I'm being too optimistic, it's because Facebook will be more advanced in 20 years, and/or Chinese culture might not be better at resisting it.
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But by default we just expect similar outcomes to Taiwan or Japan or Singapore, right? I guess a very bad choice of central bank governors trying to look stern and paternalistic is another failure mode.
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I would expect them to fare better with a European style parliamentary democracy rather than the two party setup we have. 2 party systems have a puppet-opposition failure mode that is too easy for a autocratic conditioned society to fall into.
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It's impossible for China to adopt the US system of government (anytime soon) because this system makes absolutely no sense to most Chinese politicians. At best one could hope for a gradual Singaporification of Chinese government... but right now it's moving the other way.
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I agree when I visited beijing 2 wks ago. just had a conversation with 2 austrians and a Canadian here in Koh Samui about what they thought of the idea of China running the world because that's where we're headed
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Facebook killed what?
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The diversity of ideas and of people's preferences through Facebook's superhuman ability to deduce and influence our desires and news sources, and thus our opinions and voting preferences.
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Meh. Most people don't form opinions on Facebook. Television is and long has been much stronger at smooshing diversity of preferences. And re-alignment was re-dividing us effectively decades before Facebook was founded.
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