Can you recommend an overview of everything wrong with probabilistic epistemology? I haven’t found one. There’s lots of papers that say “this particular objection is fatal, so why don’t you guys stop pretending,” but maybe no compendium of those?
The naive toolboxer says "Probability must have been the wrong tool" the moment something goes wrong; if you have Law in your metatoolbox you will wonder if the law still held and somebody misapplied it.https://arbital.com/p/4xx/
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“The naive toolboxer” seems like a straw man here? One certainly can make that mistake. Maybe some people often do? Is there evidence for that?
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Meta-rationality is about making good choices about which tools to use, when and why. “Abandon PT at first sign of trouble” would be a failure of meta-rationality.
End of conversation
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