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ESYudkowsky's profile
Eliezer Yudkowsky
Eliezer Yudkowsky
Eliezer Yudkowsky
Verified account
@ESYudkowsky

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Eliezer YudkowskyVerified account

@ESYudkowsky

Ours is the era of inadequate AI alignment theory. Any other facts about this era are relatively unimportant, but sometimes I tweet about them anyway.

Joined June 2014

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    Eliezer Yudkowsky‏Verified account @ESYudkowsky May 31

    I see nothing the AI field can collectively do about this. But AI would still have a better reputation in the impossible world where businesses waited an extra 2 years to replace humans with AIs, or until the robots delivered better customer experiences and not just cheaper ones.

    12:27 PM - 31 May 2018
    • 13 Retweets
    • 52 Likes
    • Guillermo Lizarraga Allan Blanchard ryjm prior probability Margaretta Colangelo Zero Gravitas Igor John Durrans Arnab Chakraborty
    7 replies 13 retweets 52 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Scott Greenberg‏ @ScottElliotG May 31
        Replying to @ESYudkowsky

        Isn't it good for several of MIRI's goals if AI has a bad public reputation?

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      3. Eliezer Yudkowsky‏Verified account @ESYudkowsky May 31
        Replying to @ScottElliotG

        I presently read MIRI's goals as unrelated to public opinion variance inside the Overton Window. Everything in that range is equally useless; nothing in it corresponds to policies unusual enough to result in non-default outcomes.

        1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
      4. Scott Greenberg‏ @ScottElliotG May 31
        Replying to @ESYudkowsky

        Doesn't AI having a negative halo effect at least improve your ability to fundraise?

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      5. Eliezer Yudkowsky‏Verified account @ESYudkowsky May 31
        Replying to @ScottElliotG

        I don't get the impression that's been the case. People who are scared of marching robots with glowing red eyes are rarely precise-enough thinkers to take a precisely productive action that is more expensive than ranting on Twitter and not as emotionally fun.

        2 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
      6. Eliezer Yudkowsky‏Verified account @ESYudkowsky May 31
        Replying to @ESYudkowsky @ScottElliotG

        If you think that a hiccuping Doordash delivery is a Harbinger of the AGI Apocalypse (rather than totally unrelated), you're also liable to be impressed by "relevant" work involving sexy gradient descent tech that flails in the direction of something vaguely alignment-sounding.

        1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
      7. Eliezer Yudkowsky‏Verified account @ESYudkowsky May 31
        Replying to @ESYudkowsky @ScottElliotG

        In my experience, all imprecise thinking is the enemy of all precise thinkers advocating precise policies. Once you depart the narrow path, there is always somebody who looks sexier, cooler, easier, more rewarding, because they left the narrow path to optimize just for that.

        1 reply 3 retweets 9 likes
      8. Scott Greenberg‏ @ScottElliotG May 31
        Replying to @ESYudkowsky

        That's fair. All I'll say, anecdotally, is that I've donated to ex-risk organizations in the past, and I wouldn't put it past myself to donate more on a particular day if I've recently had an experience that caused a negative mood affiliation with AI.

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      9. Scott Greenberg‏ @ScottElliotG May 31
        Replying to @ScottElliotG @ESYudkowsky

        And I presume that MIRI's other donors aren't immune from all of the usual cognitive biases that would cause them to donate less or more

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      10. End of conversation
      1. Toxic 🚫Centrism‏ @ExcludedMuddle May 31
        Replying to @ESYudkowsky

        Well the video game crash of 1983 brought about stringent quality controls, so sometimes things have to get worse before they get better.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Nidhal Selmi - نضال السالمي‏ @imleslahdin May 31
        Replying to @ESYudkowsky

        Reputation can be highly manipulable and politicized. Once that is solved however thing are different.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Brian Heligman‏ @BrianTHeligman May 31
        Replying to @ESYudkowsky

        @tylercowen discusses this in his conversation with Garry Kasparaov. His initial encounters with things like self-checkout were incredibly frustrating because it was deployed too early, and that soured him (a bit) on the potentials of automation

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. voltpathDOTca‏ @voltpathDOTca May 31
        Replying to @ESYudkowsky

        depends on the business and who builds the AI. if something is so complex that an AI will do it best but sensitive enough that a large enough mistake could cost everyone, then using AI in false flags could become a new norm.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Tracy Harms‏ @kaleidic May 31
        Replying to @ESYudkowsky

        We're finding out what they think their reputation is worth, I guess.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Mike Kelly‏ @mikekelly85 May 31
        Replying to @ESYudkowsky

        2 years seems a bit hopeful.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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