D+13 in 2006 would have had absurd gains
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Always (almost) off in the same direction. What’s the deal?
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There's been a lot of talk about polls being off since 2016 but the 2014 numbers suggest the issue predates Trump.
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The graph later, showing that the generic ballot was more flawed than the presidential ballot, points out something that everyone seems to overlook
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Interesting only in one year was the R over estimated. By .1 point.
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Huh, it's weird seeing them dead right in 2018 only to be so wrong in 2020
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In every year except 2008 the error was in Dem favor. In 2010 it missed Rep by only 0.1. In 2018 it was 0.0. When 10 of 13 results show a significant bias of 3.0+ avg toward Dems, how is that never corrected?
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Damn I wish those 2004, 2006 and 2014 polls were right
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How good would it be for the polls in 2020, 2012 and 2006 to have been right.
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2012 was barely off, dems did win the house popular vote, but it was just after redistricting which means all gerrymanders were working as originally intended
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