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DrewSav's profile
Drew Savicki
Drew Savicki
Drew Savicki
@DrewSav

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Drew Savicki

@DrewSav

Formerly: contributor @270toWin . I (sometimes) write about elections. CT-IL-NC. Bad speller. Be prepared for bad food takes #ActuallyAutistic🧙‍♂️🗺️ He/Him

Concord, NC
drewsavicki.substack.com
Joined August 2017

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    Drew Savicki‏ @DrewSav Feb 24

    Per @geoffreyvs , the generic ballot had its largest miss last year since 2006. https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-was-the-national-polling-environment-so-off-in-2020/?ex_cid=biden-approval …pic.twitter.com/bCKAVAEPvM

    3:52 PM - 24 Feb 2021
    • 11 Retweets
    • 76 Likes
    • RomRemSyl Hego Damask 🇬🇧 Eduardo Cavalcante 🇧🇷🇻🇦🇾🇪 Herostratus 🐌🐌🐌☀️🚱🍟 Matt your friendly neighborhood whale 🗳️ Gadi 🇺🇸 Jakub Gałka
    12 replies 11 retweets 76 likes
      1. Nathan Jordan‏ @NathnJordn Feb 24
        Replying to @DrewSav @senhorraposa @geoffreyvs

        D+13 in 2006 would have had absurd gains

        1 reply 0 retweets 18 likes
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      1. Steve Berg‏ @sberg0 Feb 24
        Replying to @DrewSav @senhorraposa @geoffreyvs

        Always (almost) off in the same direction. What’s the deal?

        0 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
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      1. Jacob Boenzi‏ @BoenziJacob Feb 24
        Replying to @DrewSav @senhorraposa @geoffreyvs

        There's been a lot of talk about polls being off since 2016 but the 2014 numbers suggest the issue predates Trump.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Demon Possessed Crack Smoker‏ @neoglobalist Feb 24
        Replying to @DrewSav @senhorraposa @geoffreyvs

        The graph later, showing that the generic ballot was more flawed than the presidential ballot, points out something that everyone seems to overlook

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      2. Chad Alexander‏ @ChadAlexander2 Feb 24
        Replying to @Blake_Allen13 @senhorraposa @geoffreyvs

        Interesting only in one year was the R over estimated. By .1 point.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Show replies
      1. Dan Nguyen  🌉 🦑 🐸 🦉 🍿‏ @DanDHNguyen01 Feb 24
        Replying to @DrewSav @senhorraposa @geoffreyvs

        Huh, it's weird seeing them dead right in 2018 only to be so wrong in 2020

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
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      1. BearFlagFan‏ @BearFlagFan Feb 24
        Replying to @DrewSav @senhorraposa @geoffreyvs

        In every year except 2008 the error was in Dem favor. In 2010 it missed Rep by only 0.1. In 2018 it was 0.0. When 10 of 13 results show a significant bias of 3.0+ avg toward Dems, how is that never corrected?

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. Nikolaj 🍦 🧦‏ @nikicaga Feb 24
        Replying to @DrewSav @senhorraposa @geoffreyvs

        Damn I wish those 2004, 2006 and 2014 polls were right

        1 reply 0 retweets 6 likes
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      2. John double-dose vaxxed Smith‏ @Elfvandel20 Feb 24
        Replying to @DrewSav @senhorraposa @geoffreyvs

        How good would it be for the polls in 2020, 2012 and 2006 to have been right.

        2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Avery wants you to vote SPD!‏ @AveryTheComrade Feb 24
        Replying to @Elfvandel20 @senhorraposa @geoffreyvs

        2012 was barely off, dems did win the house popular vote, but it was just after redistricting which means all gerrymanders were working as originally intended

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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