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Presidential poll averages have fluctuated way more in 2016 than in 2012, ranging up to 5% this year, vs 2% in 2012. Compare Obama/HRC in PA

8:08 PM · Sep 24, 2016

Brendan Nyhan (@BrendanNyhan in other places)

hard to see differences clearly when y-axes aren't the same

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A cardinal sin! It's what I had handy.

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Show replies

@laseptiemewilay

1 observation: fluctuations could be caused by the quality of polls. I see a lot of instability in the LV models out there

Jonathan Robinson

2016 model seems a lot more sensitive, many more small changes. Are you running it more often?

what is going on in this country? I'm scared 😂