effective intervention please , based on a science basement. Means if we know (today) that 95% of infections happens inside , 95% of interventions should work ... on inside situations. @c_drosten @Karl_Lauterbach ?
Study from Imperial team on #COVID19 epidemic in Europe.
more cases than reported, likely 12-15 million infected (3-4% of population);
insufficient for herd immunity;
epidemic not over;
interventions effective, 3.1 million deaths prevented.
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-020-2405-7 …pic.twitter.com/93AbOYRq10
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https://amzn.to/37cwsHR All time favorite- One Man Show
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your opinion to
@hendrikstreeck ? " ....sees an opportunity to fight the corona pandemic during the summer months. A partial immunity in the population could possibly be built up... https://ogy.de/2j7x@hendrikstreeck -
Hendrik Streeck ->
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0.85% for germany means there could/should be about 705.000 (post-)infections. In this scenario only 1 of 4 cases is detected. This calculation corresponds to the "high" mortality rate published by Robert-Koch-Institute, which is 4-5 times higher then the estimated mortality.
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Redid the math on that infection rates with real population & fatalilty values. Interesting. Germany: 83,149,300 population 0.85% infected 706,769 infected 8,783 dead ~1.24% mortality France: 66,993,000 population 3.4% infected 2,277,762 infected 29,209 Dead ~1.28% mortality
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Ich traue keiner Statistik die ich nicht selbst gefälscht habe. Einigen wenigen dürfte dieser Spruch bekannt vorkommen
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Belgium being the only country telling the truth and giving all deaths from COVID 19 ... unlike the rest
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