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DrEricDing's profile
Eric Feigl-Ding
Eric Feigl-Ding
Eric Feigl-Ding
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@DrEricDing

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Eric Feigl-DingVerified account

@DrEricDing

Epidemiologist & health economist. Senior Fellow @FAScientists. Former 16 years @Harvard. @JohnsHopkins alum. COVID updates since Jan '20: http://nym.ag/3olszuo 

Washington DC & Virginia
fas.org/expert/eric-fe…
Joined January 2009

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    Eric Feigl-Ding‏Verified account @DrEricDing 7 Apr 2021

    Let this sink in—over **half of all intubated young adults** on ventilators now dies from #COVID19 in Brazil 🇧🇷. What’s odds last spring 2020? 1 in 3. That is likely an effect of #P1 variant—not just ICU capacity because March 2021 wasn’t included yet. 🧵 (HT @terrence_mccoy)pic.twitter.com/mHY5Vfqu0i

    8:11 PM - 7 Apr 2021
    • 1,259 Retweets
    • 2,112 Likes
    • WALTER THE GUARDIAN Peyman Esmaeli Lucas Holmes Carly Beverlee Valeriano hasan Torkil Sørensen SyntaxTerror Dr. Liana Fix
    72 replies 1,259 retweets 2,112 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Eric Feigl-Ding‏Verified account @DrEricDing 7 Apr 2021

        2) What about overall chance of dying if intubated in Brazil 🇧🇷 hospital recently? 72.8%. Last spring—60%.pic.twitter.com/o07d0wibyH

        4 replies 115 retweets 331 likes
        Show this thread
      3. Eric Feigl-Ding‏Verified account @DrEricDing 7 Apr 2021

        Eric Feigl-Ding Retweeted Eric Feigl-Ding

        3) Brazil’s crisis is almost unimaginable. Brazil’s 4000+ deaths a day is significant - even though Us is 50% larger in population, Brazil 🇧🇷 is much much younger in age distribution compared to a much more elderly US pop. Thus it’s not just equal to 6k US—Brazil likely worse.https://twitter.com/DrEricDing/status/1379771787416907776 …

        Eric Feigl-Ding added,

        Eric Feigl-DingVerified account @DrEricDing
        Catastrophic— over 4000 #COVID19 deaths a day in Brazil—equivalent to over 6000/day in US (never reached). "It's a nuclear reactor that has set off a chain reaction and is out of control. It's a biological Fukushima," says @MiguelNicolelis. I agree. 🧵 https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/covid-deaths-reach-4-000-day-brazil-bringing-hospitals-breaking-n1263269 … pic.twitter.com/2ngi897wKJ
        Show this thread
        5 replies 169 retweets 360 likes
        Show this thread
      4. Eric Feigl-Ding‏Verified account @DrEricDing 7 Apr 2021

        4) Lots of Brazilian doctors also confirm hospital cases are getting younger and younger.pic.twitter.com/pe19z9pSI2

        3 replies 103 retweets 347 likes
        Show this thread
      5. Eric Feigl-Ding‏Verified account @DrEricDing 7 Apr 2021

        5) Doctors are also saying that new #COVID19 patients are now having symptoms progressing faster and more aggressively.pic.twitter.com/8KuHPGU0Q2

        3 replies 95 retweets 316 likes
        Show this thread
      6. Eric Feigl-Ding‏Verified account @DrEricDing 7 Apr 2021

        6) Here is the 5 minute video in which the doctor’s interview is from. It’s a sobering video. But please watch if you can.https://www.channel4.com/news/brazils-covid-19-catastrophe-may-threaten-world-as-new-variant-spreads …

        11 replies 121 retweets 320 likes
        Show this thread
      7. Eric Feigl-Ding‏Verified account @DrEricDing 7 Apr 2021

        7) “Brazil is like a Fukushima, it can put the whole world at risk” — both me and @MiguelNicolelis equated Brazil to a chain reaction disaster already underway.https://theintercept.com/2021/04/05/entrevista-brasil-e-como-fukushima-risco-mundo/ …

        11 replies 129 retweets 365 likes
        Show this thread
      8. Eric Feigl-Ding‏Verified account @DrEricDing 7 Apr 2021

        Eric Feigl-Ding Retweeted Eric Feigl-Ding

        8) I’ve been trying to warn for many many weeks since mid March. We needed to pay attention and send aid to Brazil. But Bolsonaro resisting. Brazil’s health ministry was also less than full speed after waiting for Bolsonaro’s 4th health minister in a year to be installed.https://twitter.com/DrEricDing/status/1373501475805102082 …

        Eric Feigl-Ding added,

        Eric Feigl-DingVerified account @DrEricDing
        PAY ATTENTION—There is one crisis we all needs to pay attention to—and that is the unprecedented Brazil 🇧🇷 surge of the #P1 variant, overloaded hospitals, & sharp mortality spike. If more contagious #P1 out of control worldwide, we are all endangered. 🧵 #SOSBrazil #COVID19 pic.twitter.com/GYSRobnUFk
        Show this thread
        8 replies 133 retweets 360 likes
        Show this thread
      9. Eric Feigl-Ding‏Verified account @DrEricDing 7 Apr 2021

        9) My sources in Brazil also say that Bolsonaro’s 4th health minister was installed with **explicit orders** that lockdown and major mitigation measures are prohibited. And that the minister must allow off-label use of unproven / debunked chloroquine, & ivermectin. SMH 🤦🏻‍♂️

        15 replies 104 retweets 382 likes
        Show this thread
      10. Eric Feigl-Ding‏Verified account @DrEricDing 7 Apr 2021

        Eric Feigl-Ding Retweeted Eric Feigl-Ding

        10) A major #P1 modeling study says it is up to 2.5x faster than old strain(s). This would make it much faster than #B117 from UK. This was done by @obscovid19br research group in Brazil.https://twitter.com/DrEricDing/status/1372013248980074498 …

        Eric Feigl-Ding added,

        Eric Feigl-DingVerified account @DrEricDing
        10) here is the dark ominous study on #P1 variant that is now everywhere in 🇧🇷... it is 2.52x faster transmission that old wild common type of #SARSCoV2. That is 152% increase!#B117 is only 40-60% faster. So #P1 would then be ~68% faster than even #B117! https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.03.03.21252706v1 … pic.twitter.com/aV32TjFZqz
        Show this thread
        9 replies 92 retweets 244 likes
        Show this thread
      11. Eric Feigl-Ding‏Verified account @DrEricDing 7 Apr 2021

        Eric Feigl-Ding Retweeted Eric Feigl-Ding

        11) Another scientific group from UK’s MRC Imperial College estimates #P1 at ~2x faster transmission anr with high reinfection potential.https://twitter.com/DrEricDing/status/1373506129129578497 …

        Eric Feigl-Ding added,

        Eric Feigl-DingVerified account @DrEricDing
        9) Another Brazil research group puts #P1 transmission at 2x faster than old strain (instead of 2.5x above), but they estimate a way worse whopping 25-60% reinfection rate. That’s serious. https://www.bbc.com/news/amp/health-56252779 … pic.twitter.com/9nB8KZLdPY
        Show this thread
        5 replies 57 retweets 201 likes
        Show this thread
      12. Eric Feigl-Ding‏Verified account @DrEricDing 7 Apr 2021

        Eric Feigl-Ding Retweeted Eric Feigl-Ding

        12) And there is data that young adult Brazilians are dying more than before— which corroborates the ICU mortality data above from @terrence_mccoy of higher mortality among young adults on ventilators.https://twitter.com/DrEricDing/status/1375982129331511299 …

        Eric Feigl-Ding added,

        Eric Feigl-DingVerified account @DrEricDing
        Heartbreaking—younger Brazilians are now dying from #COVID19 more than last year–likely due to #P1. ➡️Age 30-59 saw deaths jump from Jan-mid March by 317%, versus 223% for 🇧🇷 overall. ➡️Young adult Brazilians also dying per capita much more than UK🇬🇧—see🧵 HT chart @sinichol pic.twitter.com/sxBS7eWRPx
        Show this thread
        4 replies 59 retweets 202 likes
        Show this thread
      13. Eric Feigl-Ding‏Verified account @DrEricDing 7 Apr 2021

        Eric Feigl-Ding Retweeted Eric Feigl-Ding

        13) Any more data on increasing young adult mortality in Brazil? Yes, in Parana 🇧🇷 that wasn’t hit by #P1 in January... the cafe fatality ratio (CFR) spiked in Feb once #P1 arrived by 3x in those age 20-29, and 2x in age 30-59. This again supports ventilator mortality earlier.https://twitter.com/DrEricDing/status/1375628978371854338 …

        Eric Feigl-Ding added,

        Eric Feigl-DingVerified account @DrEricDing
        7) Notably: 📌Patients aged 20-29 years experienced a tripling of their CFR 📌aged 30-39, 40-49, 50-59 experienced ~CFR doubling ➡️”Individuals between 20-29 years of age in February 2021 had an over 3-fold higher risk of death compared to January 2021.” pic.twitter.com/BCD9dO841g
        Show this thread
        6 replies 65 retweets 222 likes
        Show this thread
      14. Eric Feigl-Ding‏Verified account @DrEricDing 7 Apr 2021

        14) and I agree— The catastrophic Brazilian response to covid-19 may amount to a crime against humanityhttps://blogs.bmj.com/bmj/2021/04/05/the-catastrophic-brazilian-response-to-covid-19-may-amount-to-a-crime-against-humanity/ …

        31 replies 208 retweets 633 likes
        Show this thread
      15. End of conversation

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