This for all the deniers: “IT’S A HOAX CUZ HOSPITAL BEDS ARE EMPTY!” They once said this day would never come... what are they to say now?https://twitter.com/ChrisLu44/status/1270843017449156617 …
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4) Furthermore, hospitalization happens usually either at shortness of breath that usually kicks in 1 week after symptoms onset; or before Day 12. Give another 1-2 days for reporting delay, that’s about 3 weeks if we add in incubation time and tests.
Way too early for protests.pic.twitter.com/dGutqGVlyN
Longer than that for hospitalizations too, I think some of the early reports showed that it took about 10 days from symptom onset to hospitalization.
Exactly. Thanks for correcting the 14 day convention. Not to mention if a young mildly ill person infects an older person who becomes symptomatic enough to go get tested (still not easy to obtain), add at least another week.
We also have to account for the fact that cases are usually decreasing prior to this, so it would take another week or so for the increasing trend to "overtake" the decreasing trend. So I agree that you need about a month or so to see the real signal.
And also the randomness of who this is hitting asymptomatic folks or symptomatic folks The smaller the cases the more random it is
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