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DrEricDing's profile
Eric Feigl-Ding
Eric Feigl-Ding
Eric Feigl-Ding
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@DrEricDing

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Eric Feigl-DingVerified account

@DrEricDing

Epidemiologist & health economist. Senior Fellow @FAScientists. Former 16 years @Harvard. @JohnsHopkins alum. COVID updates since Jan '20: http://nym.ag/3olszuo 

Washington DC & Virginia
fas.org/expert/eric-fe…
Joined January 2009

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    1. Eric Feigl-Ding‏Verified account @DrEricDing 10 Jun 2020

      Eric Feigl-Ding Retweeted Chris Lu

      📍This for all the deniers: “IT’S A HOAX CUZ HOSPITAL BEDS ARE EMPTY!” They once said this day would never come... what are they to say now?https://twitter.com/ChrisLu44/status/1270843017449156617 …

      Eric Feigl-Ding added,

      Chris LuVerified account @ChrisLu44
      White House keeps minimizing #COVID19 surge by saying its due to more testing. In fact, Texas, NC and Alabama all had record hospitalizations today. Arizona hospitals are nearing capacity. Not surprisingly, this comes 2 weeks after Memorial Day weekend. pic.twitter.com/OYcYaiDT5i
      25 replies 207 retweets 384 likes
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    2. Eric Feigl-Ding‏Verified account @DrEricDing 10 Jun 2020

      2) For those who think ‘protestors’ — not quite yet. This epidemic stems from Memorial Day. How much time delay? ...

      5 replies 36 retweets 150 likes
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      Eric Feigl-Ding‏Verified account @DrEricDing 10 Jun 2020

      3) 📌 Diagnosis time delay math: first, most people get tested after symptoms develop 5-6 days, then 1-2 days to get tested, then results report 1-2 days later, then we see signal shift when 7 day average upticks half week later. So 2.5-3 weeks for initial. 4 to see real signal.

      3:34 PM - 10 Jun 2020
      • 53 Retweets
      • 150 Likes
      • GingerLee Charles Rita Linkner, MD FAAD Strong opinions, lightly held David R Holtgrave hbd chick GjustG 😷 Youyang Gu Ruthie Watson Jeremy Bond
      6 replies 53 retweets 150 likes
        1. Eric Feigl-Ding‏Verified account @DrEricDing 10 Jun 2020

          4) Furthermore, hospitalization happens usually either at shortness of breath that usually kicks in 1 week after symptoms onset; or before Day 12. Give another 1-2 days for reporting delay, that’s about 3 weeks if we add in incubation time and tests. ➡️Way too early for protests.pic.twitter.com/dGutqGVlyN

          7 replies 62 retweets 161 likes
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        1. DrRicketts‏ @DrRicketts1 10 Jun 2020
          Replying to @DrEricDing

          Longer than that for hospitalizations too, I think some of the early reports showed that it took about 10 days from symptom onset to hospitalization.

          0 replies 1 retweet 3 likes
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        1. InfuriatedCrone  🗽‏ @DeedeeAlert 10 Jun 2020
          Replying to @DrEricDing

          Exactly. Thanks for correcting the 14 day convention. Not to mention if a young mildly ill person infects an older person who becomes symptomatic enough to go get tested (still not easy to obtain), add at least another week.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. New conversation
        2. Youyang Gu‏ @youyanggu 11 Jun 2020
          Replying to @DrEricDing

          We also have to account for the fact that cases are usually decreasing prior to this, so it would take another week or so for the increasing trend to "overtake" the decreasing trend. So I agree that you need about a month or so to see the real signal.

          1 reply 1 retweet 14 likes
        3. Mulling Mueller‏ @MullingMueller 11 Jun 2020
          Replying to @youyanggu @DrEricDing

          And also the randomness of who this is hitting asymptomatic folks or symptomatic folks The smaller the cases the more random it is

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation

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