A graph is worth a thousand letters. #coronavirus. Source: NYTimes https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/world/asia/china-coronavirus-contain.html …pic.twitter.com/evgM2UHf3U
Show this thread
-
2) Whoa- the rate of increase ***outside of China*** is steeper than inside of China or Wuhan! Figure 1A. From:
@TheLancet “Nowcasting and forecasting the potential domestic and international spread of 2019-nCoV http://bit.ly/2GF6gZP ”)pic.twitter.com/u1s4SLEzMv
Show this thread
3) “An estimated 75815 individuals have been infected in Wuhan” —> this is substantially higher than current reports or ~10k reports by China 
media. (75k estimate from above Lancet article)
-
-
4) ...”On the present trajectory, 2019-nCoV could be about to become a global epidemic in the absence of mitigation...substantial, even draconian measures that limit population mobility should be seriously and immediately considered in affected areas...”
Show this thread -
5) The US
@CDCgov has quarantined all 195 US citizens who were evacuated from Wuhan last week - for 14 days. https://twitter.com/cdcgov/status/1223312319205249024?s=21 …https://twitter.com/CDCgov/status/1223312319205249024 …Show this thread -
6) BREAKING: US now says any foreign national who traveled to China in last 14 days will be denied entry to the US. The President ordered that this would be a temporary ban on people who could pose a health threat to the US.https://www.nytimes.com/2020/01/31/world/asia/coronavirus-china.html …
Show this thread
End of conversation
New conversation -
-
-
At a doubling rate of 6.4 days that means about 150,000 cases by today.
-
#coronavirus#nCoV2019#timeline
January 31, consolidated data of average growth by day from WHO official reports:
confirmed cases 31,32%
deaths 31,03%
each 5 days both has increased considerably because of the incubation ratio 5.2.
peak estimated February 13Show this thread
End of conversation
New conversation -
-
-
With 200 reported deaths, would that not imply a very low case fatality rate (0.3%), comparable to influenza?
-
This Tweet is unavailable.
- Show replies
New conversation -
-
-
This Tweet is unavailable.
-
first a person gets infected and only after some time the person may die. If the number of infected people growth. There are more infected people when the person dies than infected people when this person got infected
End of conversation
-
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.