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Eric Feigl-Ding
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Eric Feigl-Ding

@DrEricDing

Public health scientist👨🏻‍🔬/ Epidemiologist / Health Economist / Harvard ‘07 + Johns Hopkins ‘04 / Taught 15yrs HarvardSPH / NYT-feat. pharma whistleblower

VA & Washington DC
scholar.harvard.edu/ericding
Vrijeme pridruživanja: siječanj 2009.

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    Eric Feigl-Ding‏ @DrEricDing 25. sij
    • Prijavi Tweet

    UPDATE: Transmission of #coronoavirus estimated at 2.6 by another research group (lower than the 3.8 initial reports). But 2.6 is still extremely bad —each infected person will infect 2.6 others. Even the authors admit #CoronaOutbreak containment will be very difficult. Thread:pic.twitter.com/Gg2vyIevL4

    10:07 - 25. sij 2020.
    • 3.017 proslijeđenih tweetova
    • 3.634 oznake „sviđa mi se”
    • Support Hoshiai no Sora #星合の空! 🎾 L.R. 🍓 Bùi Cát Bụi rubzz Bảo Toàn 3698165 Daniel CARTER EMBREY Call Me Pelangi Sleepy Hollow Addict
    220 replies 3.017 proslijeđenih tweetova 3.634 korisnika označavaju da im se sviđa
      1. Novi razgovor
      2. Eric Feigl-Ding‏ @DrEricDing 25. sij
        • Prijavi Tweet

        2: “This implies that control measures need to block well over 60% of transmission to be effective in controlling the outbreak. Whether transmission is continuing at the same rate currently depends on the effectiveness of current control measures implemented in China...

        8 replies 173 proslijeđena tweeta 388 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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      3. Eric Feigl-Ding‏ @DrEricDing 25. sij
        • Prijavi Tweet

        3: “In the absence of antiviral drugs or vaccines, control relies upon the prompt detection and isolation of symptomatic cases. It is unclear at the current time whether this outbreak can be contained within China”. Source: https://www.imperial.ac.uk/mrc-global-infectious-disease-analysis/news--wuhan-coronavirus/ …

        12 replies 216 proslijeđenih tweetova 390 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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      4. Eric Feigl-Ding‏ @DrEricDing 25. sij
        • Prijavi Tweet

        4: Even the author of the new 2.6 report admits that we need to plan for chance that “CONTAINMENT OF THIS EPIDEMIC ISN’T POSSIBLE”. Hence I’m not being uniquely distressed about this — the public health concern is very real!!pic.twitter.com/svqRqvq2SW

        13 replies 291 proslijeđeni tweet 513 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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      5. Eric Feigl-Ding‏ @DrEricDing 25. sij
        • Prijavi Tweet

        Eric Feigl-Ding je proslijedio/a tweet korisnika/ceneil_ferguson

        5: The 2.6’s author agrees it’s super dangerous and could infect without symptoms: “An epidemic with an R0 of 2.5 could still infect between 60% and 90% of the population, depending on contact patterns. Not all might be symptomatic.” https://twitter.com/neil_ferguson/status/1221068606877904897?s=21 …https://twitter.com/neil_ferguson/status/1221068606877904897 …

        Eric Feigl-Ding je dodan/na,

        neil_ferguson @neil_ferguson
        Odgovor korisnicima @scopedbylarry @MRC_Outbreak i sljedećem broju korisnika: 11
        R0 estimates for flu pandemics lie in the 1.5-2.5 range. Yes, Measles is much higher (10-15). An epidemic with an R0 of 2.5 could still infect between 60% and 90% of the population, depending on contact patterns and assuming no prior immunity. Not all might be symptomatic though.
        19 replies 283 proslijeđena tweeta 447 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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      6. Eric Feigl-Ding‏ @DrEricDing 25. sij
        • Prijavi Tweet

        6: How long ago did the #coronoavirus emerge and start spreading? “the Adam (or Eve) virus from which all others are descended first appeared no earlier than Oct. 30, 2019, and no later than Nov. 29.” Basically 1.5-2.5 months of unconfined proliferation. https://www.statnews.com/2020/01/24/dna-sleuths-read-coronavirus-genome-tracing-origins-and-mutations/ …pic.twitter.com/anZaK3IIhB

        37 replies 384 proslijeđena tweeta 623 korisnika označavaju da im se sviđa
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      7. Eric Feigl-Ding‏ @DrEricDing 26. sij
        • Prijavi Tweet

        7: the author of the 2.6 transmission report now acknowledges that given the way the #coronavirus is trending, “the evidence now suggests it is now rational to start planning for the scenario that containment efforts may not succeed.” We should hope for best but prepare for worstpic.twitter.com/5m2dFFZtko

        17 replies 270 proslijeđenih tweetova 430 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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      8. Eric Feigl-Ding‏ @DrEricDing 26. sij
        • Prijavi Tweet

        8: This ominous incidence curve estimates the trajectory of the virus based on R0=2.6 (from the @MRC_Outbreak’s 3rd report on the #coronavirus). As always, here is the reference for transparency: https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-2019-nCoV-transmissibility.pdf …pic.twitter.com/nPRv94Gn2D

        18 replies 241 proslijeđeni tweet 358 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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      9. Eric Feigl-Ding‏ @DrEricDing 26. sij
        • Prijavi Tweet

        9: A team from @WorldPopProject has heat mapped the highest risk areas in China and highest risk counties for the #WuhanCoronavirus based on Lunar New Year travel prior to the holiday. Thailand, Japan, and S Korea, and the US top the list. (Ref: https://www.worldpop.org/events/china )pic.twitter.com/BYkdfyn64x

        46 replies 1.249 proslijeđenih tweetova 1.298 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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      10. Eric Feigl-Ding‏ @DrEricDing 26. sij
        • Prijavi Tweet

        10: “What is the R0 of the flu“ many people ask, for comparison to the #coronavirus. In most years, the typical seasonal flu has an R0=1.28. The 2009 flu pandemic? R0=1.48. The 1918 Spanish Flu? 1.80. (These are figures from a systematic review of the flu https://bmcinfectdis.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/1471-2334-14-480 …)

        18 replies 184 proslijeđena tweeta 325 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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      11. Eric Feigl-Ding‏ @DrEricDing 26. sij
        • Prijavi Tweet

        11: Very useful tracking database + map 🗺 of the #coronarovirus built by @JohnsHopkinsSPH scientists. Here is the difference of just 4 days change of the #CoronavirusOutbreak. Map updated daily here: https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6 …pic.twitter.com/LZgnKg9GWM

        362 proslijeđena tweeta 497 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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      12. Eric Feigl-Ding‏ @DrEricDing 26. sij
        • Prijavi Tweet

        12: Another report with R0 of 3.3-5.4 for #CoronavirusOutbreak #coronavirus. (Now I post this study with caveat it’s not peer reviewed, but such an R0 is much higher than other R0=2.6 by @MRC_Outbreak, but close to another R0=3.8). Regardless this is high.https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.01.23.916395v1 …

        156 proslijeđenih tweetova 267 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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      13. Eric Feigl-Ding‏ @DrEricDing 26. sij
        • Prijavi Tweet

        13: What is the #coronarvirus’s “Case Fatality”? We don’t know but it could be 1-10% according to @MRC_Outbreak expert. Scientists say it CANNOT be reliably calculated yet. Notably do *NOT* merely divide reported deaths / cases. Numbers are still too uncertain to calculate yet!!!pic.twitter.com/azegnkHho7

        20 replies 99 proslijeđenih tweetova 241 korisnik označava da mu se sviđa
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      14. Eric Feigl-Ding‏ @DrEricDing 26. sij
        • Prijavi Tweet

        Eric Feigl-Ding je proslijedio/a tweet korisnika/ceEric Feigl-Ding

        14: Very concerning new data from China CDC suggesting the #coronarvirus has “higher pandemic risk than SARS”. More details here: https://twitter.com/drericding/status/1221542425056940034?s=21 …https://twitter.com/DrEricDing/status/1221542425056940034 …

        Eric Feigl-Ding je dodan/na,

        Eric Feigl-Ding @DrEricDing
        BREAKING: Experts from China’s CDC in Guangdong now published a Jan 25th report that new #coronavirus has “higher pandemic risk than SARS”!!! They based it on R0 analysis from new data vs SARS. This is quite alarming if true. https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.01.25.919787v1 … pic.twitter.com/ap31Db90oe
        Prikaži ovu nit
        15 replies 239 proslijeđenih tweetova 312 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
        Prikaži ovu nit
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