2/ “We estimate the basic reproduction number of the infection (R_0) to be 3.8 (95% confidence interval, 3.6-4.0), indicating that 72-75% of transmissions must be prevented by control measures for infections to stop increasing...
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6/ ...critically dependent on the assumptions underpinning our model, and the timing and reporting of confirmed cases, and there is considerable uncertainty associated with the outbreak at this early stage. With these caveats in mind, our work suggests that...
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7/ a basic reproductive number for this 2019-nCoV outbreak is higher compared to other emergent coronaviruses, suggesting that containment or control of this pathogen may be substantially more difficult.”!!!!
#wuhanvirus#CoronavirusOutbreak#ChinaCoronaVirus ...Prikaži ovu nit
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Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi
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Any reduction estimation for the travel restrictions across more cities apart from Wuhan? Seems the restrictions are being planned already.
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Tweet je nedostupan.
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@threadreaderapp please unroll -
Saluti, please find the unroll here: Thread by
@DrEricDing: HOLY MOTHER OF GOD - the new coronavirus is a 3.8!!! How bad is that reproductive R0 value? It… https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1220919589623803905.html …. See you soon.
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Čini se da učitavanje traje već neko vrijeme.
Twitter je možda preopterećen ili ima kratkotrajnih poteškoća u radu. Pokušajte ponovno ili potražite dodatne informacije u odjeljku Status Twittera.
/ Epidemiologist / Health Economist / Harvard ‘07 + Johns Hopkins ‘04 / Taught 15yrs HarvardSPH / NYT-feat. pharma whistleblower