New: based on the past week’s evidence, we’re revising our House outlook to a Dem gain of 30-40 seats (was 25-35 last month) at @CookPolitical. This could change again before Tuesday.
This tweet of yours proves my point. This is not a link to a poll. It’s a link to an aggregation model. This is illustrative of what I mean when I say people don’t understand polls and statistics. You linked to something that is not a poll.
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Nope. You don’t understand what 538 does. They don’t do polling. The look the available polls for other places (hence the word polls) and they produce a statistical model to predict the probability of a candidates chance of winning.
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