New: based on the past week’s evidence, we’re revising our House outlook to a Dem gain of 30-40 seats (was 25-35 last month) at @CookPolitical. This could change again before Tuesday.
-
-
I don’t believe any polls anymore. As a Dem we should ignore the polls
16 replies 3 retweets 115 likes -
Replying to @marybl62 @Redistrict and
The polls in general weren’t wrong in 2016. The interpretation of what the polls meant was wrong. We need to understand uncertainty measures: commonly 95% confidence levels which means even the one time in 20 the result falls outside the confidence interval the poll’s not wrong.
9 replies 4 retweets 93 likes -
Exactly. I’m not sure why so many people are having difficulty with this.
8 replies 2 retweets 43 likes -
Replying to @DrChristineMann @marybl62 and
There is alarming ignorance in the general population about basic statistics, and that's manipulated by some who want to seed opinions. At least that's the case here in Australia and I surmise is the case elsewhere too.
5 replies 7 retweets 59 likes -
Replying to @railmaps @DrChristineMann and
Ignore the polls, work to GOTV! That’s the way to win BIG. Over 300 campaigns looking for help today! https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1aPO5ZeC42Jc1U70FQeqYoDsMepTnQOXyl_LHl6aRH68/htmlview#gid=0 …
4 replies 5 retweets 35 likes
I’ve been working with multiple campaigns for over a year. I’m gonna continue to the end AND I’m going to be realistic about our chances.
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.