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DouthatNYT's profile
Ross Douthat
Ross Douthat
Ross Douthat
Verified account
@DouthatNYT

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Ross DouthatVerified account

@DouthatNYT

New York Times columnist, National Review film critic, author of Bad Religion: How We Became a Nation of Heretics (Free Press, 2012).

Washington DC
douthat.blogs.nytimes.com
Joined April 2012

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    1. Ross Douthat‏Verified account @DouthatNYT 3 Aug 2016

      Ross Douthat Retweeted PewResearch Global

      Let's talk about somebody else's problems for a minute. Look at these numbers:https://twitter.com/pewglobal/status/760637580857774080 …

      Ross Douthat added,

      PewResearch GlobalVerified account @pewglobal
      Demography for asylum seeker's in Europe: Young and male http://pewrsr.ch/2asMQLh  pic.twitter.com/25nTE8PsRn
      18 replies 124 retweets 117 likes
    2. Ross Douthat‏Verified account @DouthatNYT 3 Aug 2016
      Replying to @DouthatNYT

      There are, consistently, three under-35 male migrants entering Europe for every under-35 female migrant.

      25 replies 151 retweets 137 likes
    3. Ross Douthat‏Verified account @DouthatNYT 3 Aug 2016
      Replying to @DouthatNYT

      In the short run, men w/o women are a huge pool for the kind of ISIS recruitment @rcallimachi writes about today:http://nyti.ms/2au9KvK 

      10 replies 70 retweets 101 likes
    4. Ross Douthat‏Verified account @DouthatNYT 3 Aug 2016
      Replying to @DouthatNYT

      In the longer run -- how many of these young men are going to find brides from inside Europe? A small percentage, I would hazard.

      24 replies 33 retweets 55 likes
    5. Ross Douthat‏Verified account @DouthatNYT 3 Aug 2016
      Replying to @DouthatNYT

      So if you want them to actually settle down in some normal sense, you need to let them to bring brides in from places they've left behind.

      18 replies 21 retweets 36 likes
    6. Ross Douthat‏Verified account @DouthatNYT 3 Aug 2016
      Replying to @DouthatNYT

      But that means that every current estimate of migration rate substantially underestimates its potential demographic impact.

      2 replies 18 retweets 44 likes
    7. Ross Douthat‏Verified account @DouthatNYT 3 Aug 2016
      Replying to @DouthatNYT

      Germany took a million last year, on track for 4-500,000 this year. Per these numbers, that 1.5 million includes about 650,000 extra men.

      12 replies 42 retweets 39 likes
      Ross Douthat‏Verified account @DouthatNYT 3 Aug 2016

      If a lot of these men ultimately bring in spouses, the overall influx -- again, in just 2 years -- could be closer to 2 million than 1.5.

      8:59 AM - 3 Aug 2016
      • 28 Retweets
      • 44 Likes
      • tord nilsson Jodie Edwin Drood tyler durden Mexican KEKbacked Lobotomist Walter Kevin Gavin Mackie
      9 replies 28 retweets 44 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Ross Douthat‏Verified account @DouthatNYT 3 Aug 2016
          Replying to @DouthatNYT

          Germany's under-35 population isn't that large. It already includes many recent migrants and their kids. There's a birthrate differential.

          2 replies 27 retweets 30 likes
        3. Ross Douthat‏Verified account @DouthatNYT 3 Aug 2016
          Replying to @DouthatNYT

          If Germany continues to accept migrants at this year's pace (forget last year's), it may be a completely transformed country in 25 years.

          97 replies 166 retweets 152 likes
        4. Jeff B/DDHQ‏Verified account @EsotericCD 3 Aug 2016
          Replying to @DouthatNYT

          This is Germany's deal w/devil to get past plummeting native birth rate while maintaining labor force, social welfare programs.

          15 replies 3 retweets 17 likes
        5. Ross Douthat‏Verified account @DouthatNYT 3 Aug 2016
          Replying to @EsotericCD

          Right. They'll get the population ratio that economists want. They won't be Japan. But what they will be ...

          16 replies 4 retweets 15 likes
        6. 3 more replies
      1. Zankapfel vom Dienst‏ @Streitapfel 3 Aug 2016
        Replying to @DouthatNYT

        @arisroussinos Sweden and Germany slammed in the brakes on family reunification for a reason

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      2. Billy Chav‏ @billy_chav 3 Aug 2016
        Replying to @DouthatNYT

        Send. Them. Back.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
        1. New conversation
        2. Pawel Swidlicki‏ @pswidlicki 3 Aug 2016
          Replying to @DouthatNYT

          The 1 million figure is mythical, according to official statistics Germant received 476,510 first time asylum claims in 2015

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Pawel Swidlicki‏ @pswidlicki 3 Aug 2016
          Replying to @pswidlicki @DouthatNYT

          Many won't be granted asylum and should therefore leave at some point (question is how many will, Germany bad at deportation)

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation
      3. Jack Mcscrubbins‏ @mcscrubbins 3 Aug 2016
        Replying to @DouthatNYT

        they have to go back!

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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