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Conversation

4/ The current polling in Iowa basically bears out my reasoning. Trump's support is deep, intense -- and narrow:

fivethirtyeight.com

Donald Trump’s Support In Iowa Is Narrow But Deep

Donald Trump is favored to win the Iowa Republican caucuses Monday night; he’s not a heavy favorite, but our polls-plus and polls-only forecasts give him a smal…

5:49 PM · Feb 1, 2016

billbindc (more in sorrow than in parody)

Replying to

That's true in Iowa and NH...but his support in the South has a much wider base. You either kill him now or you are stuck w/him.

Replying to

It will depend on when the field narrows. A comfortable Trump win in NH with a clump around 2nd would be a disaster for GOP.

Greg Chernack, CEO, Four Seasons Total Landscaping

Replying to

There seems to be some correlation b/w where Trump does best and where Obama did worst. What could be the common thread?