My Tuesday column: What Are Conservatives Actually Debating?:https://www.nytimes.com/2019/06/04/opinion/conservatives-david-french-trump.html?action=click&module=Opinion&pgtype=Homepage …
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(This phenomenon also tracks the Great-Awokening data showing white liberals eclipsing minorities in their racial progressivism.)
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But the coalition that conservative populism requires to govern, and last, cannot be build by equalling Mitt Romney's share of the minority vote. It just can't. You don't have to agree with everything my colleague says here to see that:https://www.nytimes.com/2019/06/03/opinion/republicans-generation-gap.html?action=click&module=Opinion&pgtype=Homepage …
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At best you could say that in Trump's support as described here there are *hints* of a future pan-ethnic populism. But given Trump's current pan-ethnic non-support, his stable unpopularity, the old-white skew of his backers, those hints are not enough.https://twitter.com/ToryAnarchist/status/1134180472282595329 …
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And in that sense the moral problem and the practical problem for religious conservatives trying to build on Trumpism are, as I suggested in the column, one and the same.
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End of conversation
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TRUE. Trump's appeal was to the dispossessed middle class (July-Aug. 2017 "Atlantic") - and included his pitch to blacks in which he asked what they had to lose by voting for him (or at least not voting for Hillary).
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Both numbers are in the dirt though, so maybe don't read too much into it?
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Trump equalled Romney's showing w/blacks and maybe-slightly-improved w/Hispanics. Reasonable claim except Trump did not run against Obama and the Minority voting for Bush 2000 and 2004 was better than Trump 2016. If Trump ran against Obama does this hold true?
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I wonder if minorities never expected anything, so any rise above the impossibly low bar would be recorded as an improvement.
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Trump's showing among black *men* was huge for a Republican, but his showing among black women was really really low.
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I think you underestimate good old fashioned name recognition.
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