56/ On 12/3, the most surreal day of 18 months in Gvt, it was argued to the PM that a/ individual isolation be delayed (‘we’re not ready’), b/ we might not do household quarantine *at all*, c/ given Halpern’s interview on 11th, the PM shd publicly explain the ‘herd immunity’ plan
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67/ As shown to PM, his study, Sat morning, 14/3, by Ben Warner/me: 'Current plan' = disaster vs 'actual plan'. The PlanB whiteboard is just behind. 'The official plan is a disaster, we need Plan B'pic.twitter.com/xZmPL6MGNb
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68/ Don’t listen to pundits on science, covid etc when they’re repeatedly incompetently confident making awful judgements on their supposed area of ‘expertise’ & never learn. We need an entity to keep score on these clowns' bullshit. E.g Rentoulpic.twitter.com/i4M4mxGRPk
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69/ Instead of pundits, follow people like
@hsu_steve who warned me 25/2/20 US policy was 'very stupid' & I shd push UK to be much more aggressive, reject herd immunity etc. People like Steve &@MWStory, unlike pundits, know *how to think*Näytä tämä ketju -
70/ I asked Prof Gowers, Fields medallist, for help week of 9/3. His advice & paper helped convince me to try to bounce policy from Plan A/herd immunity to Plan B (suppress, vaccines etc). He's not on official minutes but he also was on phone for 18/3 SAGEhttps://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/may/28/a-look-at-prof-gowers-herd-immunity-document-sent-to-dominic-cummings …
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71/ In 2014 I explained how SW1 programs dysfunctional institutions & poor performance. Most big things on covid were here including today’s issue: destructive feedback between EU procurement/judicial review/ Whitehall management: https://dominiccummings.com/2014/10/30/the-hollow-men-ii-some-reflections-on-westminster-and-whitehall-dysfunction/ …pic.twitter.com/fEItFPIkcp
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72/ JR summary: ‘there is no suggestion of actual bias’ but instead of telling officials to focus on the worst crisis since 45, a disease x2 in 2-3 days, I shd have told officials to focus on creating a Potemkin paper trail to negate campaigners claiming ‘appearance’ of bias
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73/ I.e if I’d said as the Cabinet Office imploded around me, let’s spend days writing a RAG-rated scorecard for ‘objective criteria’ to guard vs bad PR, then a/ more dead, but b/ it wd have been ‘lawful’. Court is saying: I/officials shd have focused on (b)
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74/ On this basis the courts shd rule that many 2020 decisions were similarly ‘unlawful’ as I & the Cabinet Secretary repeatedly told officials ‘focus on imminent threats to lives/destruction, not process/lawyers/Potemkin paper trails’
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75/ Court is telling SW1: even in a crisis like a once-a-century pandemic, your real focus shd ALWAYS be the paper trail. This is already a hugely destructive problem & today’s judgment will make it even worse. If covid doesn't justify focus on outcome>process, nothing will
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76/ Officials often tell PM 'we need a Potemkin meeting repeating what we've just decided for a paper trail in case of a JR'. Ditto across Whitehall many times a day. I've said for yrs this causes chaos, today guarantees the problem gets more destructive
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77/ When it became clear DHSC/PHE/CABOFF weren't gathering vital data, I acted urgently. This data immediately helped key decisions & saved lives. But *our JR process values paper trails over effective action* & this incentivises officials + is very destructive as I wrote 2014pic.twitter.com/fYaAAStnpk
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78/ Media coverage today inevitably abysmal. In 12/20, even after covid made our EU-based procurement system a life/death issue, there was *zero coverage from the entire political media* of the procurement Green Paper, such is SW1 antipathy for the dread word ‘management’
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79/ Why? High status MPs, officials & hacks see procurement/management as low status + boring. Finkelstein put it well after I advised officials to read Grove’s management classic so they'd learn how to get stuff done: management is ‘really boring’. SW1's attitude killed 1000spic.twitter.com/63d67ASC9Q
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80/ Heywood told SW1: we can't afford serious early warning systems for major disasters & Whitehall has 'nothing to learn from the private sector' on management/data/digital. SW1 believed him. I said this attitude wd kill people: https://dominiccummings.com/2019/03/01/on-the-referendum-31-project-maven-procurement-lollapalooza-results-nuclear-agi-safety/ …pic.twitter.com/ut8G5vBdsY
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81/ Guaranteed: a No10 happy as a DailyMediaEntertainmentService will drop the JR reforms I began & will barely pretend to deal with a problem that’s intellectually tough, no cake headlines just bad ones, & generates ferocious opposition from smart incentivised lawyers/officials
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82/ Substack - pls subscribe... Hancock 'no PPE shortage'... Evidence... And if you work for covid victims campaigning for MPs to launch *immediate open inquiry* pls get in touch, I'll help campaign for free, as will others...https://dominiccummings.substack.com/
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83/ Horrifically familiar - nobody there at 1700 in biggest crisis since 1945. Hancock tried to delay doing household quarantine in COBR on 16/3 'because the hotline isn't ready'. I knew he wd, had warned PM who overruled thank god
#SackHancock, subscribe https://dominiccummings.substack.com pic.twitter.com/dRvoUUN1Bx
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84/ Re the data dashboard that Faculty built with NHS-X/Palantir. N.B It did NOT use ANY personal data, none went to Faculty/Palantir to make it. It worked on metrics like ‘no of cases in each hospital’. It was for *management decision-making*, nothing to do with individual data
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85/ There are big questions re NHS-Digital & plans for *patient data* but this must NOT be confused with *covid dashboard which has NO patient data*, abandoning it wd be disastrous & kill people. Sadly some campaigners deliberately conflate all this & spread misinformation
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86/ Evidence on the covid disaster: as the PM said himself, Hancock's performance on testing, procurement, PPE, care homes etc was 'totally fucking hopeless', & his account to MPs was fiction: https://dominiccummings.substack.com/p/the-pm-on-hancock-totally-fucking …pic.twitter.com/JVGLCSov7v
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88/ On 3/5/20 the PM's office thought DHSC care home failings was still 'negligently killing the most vulnerable who we are supposed to be shielding' & No10 was not being told the truth about it. An emergency mtng was called by No10 & confirmed our fears https://dominiccummings.substack.com/p/the-pm-on-hancock-totally-fucking …
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89/ If hacks want to understand what went wrong on mass/fast testing & how Whitehall screwed it again spring 20 until No10 alerted July - I v v highly recommend asking
@gaurav_ven, a brilliant young scientist who explained to No10 what DHSC got wrong, why & the solutionNäytä tämä ketju -
90/ Also NB.
@gaurav_ven had a great covid proposal but couldn't get it funded spring 2020 cos of HORRIFIC WHITEHALL SCIENCE FUNDING BUREAUCRACY so went to@patrickc &@tylercowen whose v fast funding helped him. Case study for why UK needs ARIA...Näytä tämä ketju -
91/ In spring 2020 I got
@UKRI_News to speak to the Collison/Cowen funding entity for lessons on *moving fast*. Some changes happened including on drugs/vaccines. BUT MPs shd inquire into the details: how exactly, what metrics, show UKRI & other funders improving??Näytä tämä ketju -
92/ Hancock claimed to MPs a/ 'no PPE shortage', b/ 'everybody got treatment they needed'; c/ he was a heroic success on testing, d/ HMT hampered him on procurement, e/ 'protective ring around care homes'. His claims = false. Evidence here, more to come... https://dominiccummings.substack.com/p/the-pm-on-hancock-totally-fucking …pic.twitter.com/WMGzpJjn0Q
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93/ Everybody interested in how we can radically improve research funding or covid response or both -- VERY STRONGLY recommend this by
@patrickc@tylercowen , I got F.G to help UKRI last spring, helped with covid, much much more neededhttps://future.a16z.com/what-we-learned-doing-fast-grants/ …Näytä tämä ketju -
94/ New! Why did I throw 'due process' out the window? Why is Jolyon the-kimono-wearing-fox- killer Maugham a menace to society? SHARE, SUBSCRIBE!https://dominiccummings.substack.com/p/the-uks-procurement-system-and-judicial …
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95/ New: am accused today of throwing 'due process out the window'. GUILTY! To get the Vaccine Taskforce going, to get PPE for NHS staff, I insisted *all usual processes out the window*. If we had not, then no vaccines end of 2020 & even bigger disaster...https://dominiccummings.substack.com/p/the-uks-procurement-system-and-judicial …
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96/ Blog on how our laws killed ppl. CABOFF must appeal recent judgment: judge has created a common law obligation to conduct a form of competition when statute expressly rejects such a need cos of urgency! Judgment is wrong & disaster for Whitehallhttps://dominiccummings.substack.com/p/the-uks-procurement-system-and-judicial …
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